National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high temperature of 84°F on March 25, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F bin as trader consensus reflects this official guidance backed by ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. Recent developments include a stable ridge aloft fostering warm advection from the south, with surface observations yesterday reaching the low 80s under clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for late March where averages hover around 70°F but spring warmth spikes are common. Key resolution hinges on official hourly measurements at Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport. Scenarios challenging this include an unanticipated influx of mid-level clouds or a weak cold front arrival, though current steering patterns show low likelihood before evening. Updated forecasts expected midday March 25 could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high temperature of 84°F on March 25, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F bin as trader consensus reflects this official guidance backed by ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. Recent developments include a stable ridge aloft fostering warm advection from the south, with surface observations yesterday reaching the low 80s under clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for late March where averages hover around 70°F but spring warmth spikes are common. Key resolution hinges on official hourly measurements at Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport. Scenarios challenging this include an unanticipated influx of mid-level clouds or a weak cold front arrival, though current steering patterns show low likelihood before evening. Updated forecasts expected midday March 25 could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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