Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to near-certainty (100%) that Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport will reach 24°C or higher on March 28, backed by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting exactly 24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime radiative heating. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—daily highs rising from 20°C on March 24 to 23–24°C through March 27 under dry continental air—aligning with ECMWF model runs showing minimal cloud cover and peak heating in the afternoon. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or a sudden cool front intrusion, which current guidance deems unlikely; monitor hourly updates from the official station for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
16°C <1%
$123,622 Vol.
$123,622 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C
<1%
16°C <1%
$123,622 Vol.
$123,622 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C
$45,787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to near-certainty (100%) that Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport will reach 24°C or higher on March 28, backed by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting exactly 24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime radiative heating. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—daily highs rising from 20°C on March 24 to 23–24°C through March 27 under dry continental air—aligning with ECMWF model runs showing minimal cloud cover and peak heating in the afternoon. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or a sudden cool front intrusion, which current guidance deems unlikely; monitor hourly updates from the official station for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$123,622End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to near-certainty (100%) that Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport will reach 24°C or higher on March 28, backed by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting exactly 24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime radiative heating. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—daily highs rising from 20°C on March 24 to 23–24°C through March 27 under dry continental air—aligning with ECMWF model runs showing minimal cloud cover and peak heating in the afternoon. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or a sudden cool front intrusion, which current guidance deems unlikely; monitor hourly updates from the official station for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$123,622End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to near-certainty (100%) that Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport will reach 24°C or higher on March 28, backed by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting exactly 24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime radiative heating. Recent observations confirm a sharp warming trend—daily highs rising from 20°C on March 24 to 23–24°C through March 27 under dry continental air—aligning with ECMWF model runs showing minimal cloud cover and peak heating in the afternoon. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or a sudden cool front intrusion, which current guidance deems unlikely; monitor hourly updates from the official station for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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