Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by January 31 88.9%
January 26 3.5%
January 28 2.9%
January 27 2.1%
$628,342 Vol.
$628,342 Vol.
January 24
$22,054 Vol.
1%
January 24
$22,054 Vol.
1%
January 25
$16,387 Vol.
1%
January 25
$16,387 Vol.
1%
January 26
$17,973 Vol.
3%
January 26
$17,973 Vol.
3%
January 27
$21,880 Vol.
2%
January 27
$21,880 Vol.
2%
January 28
$19,904 Vol.
3%
January 28
$19,904 Vol.
3%
January 29
$21,132 Vol.
2%
January 29
$21,132 Vol.
2%
January 30
$32,246 Vol.
1%
January 30
$32,246 Vol.
1%
January 31
$20,891 Vol.
2%
January 31
$20,891 Vol.
2%
No release by January 31
$68,941 Vol.
89%
No release by January 31
$68,941 Vol.
89%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$628,342End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by January 31 88.9%
January 26 3.5%
January 28 2.9%
January 27 2.1%
$628,342 Vol.
$628,342 Vol.
January 24
$22,054 Vol.
1%
January 25
$16,387 Vol.
1%
January 26
$17,973 Vol.
3%
January 27
$21,880 Vol.
2%
January 28
$19,904 Vol.
3%
January 29
$21,132 Vol.
2%
January 30
$32,246 Vol.
1%
January 31
$20,891 Vol.
2%
No release by January 31
$68,941 Vol.
89%
About
Volume
$628,342End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.