<$250b 100.0%
$250-500b <1%
$500-750b <1%
$750b-1T <1%
$2,914,931 Vol.
$2,914,931 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
<$250b
Yes
$250-500b
No
$500-750b
No
$750b-1T
No
$1-2T
No
>$2T
No
<$250b 100.0%
$250-500b <1%
$500-750b <1%
$750b-1T <1%
$2,914,931 Vol.
$2,914,931 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
<$250b
$742,914 Vol.
Yes
$250-500b
$198,270 Vol.
No
$500-750b
$160,658 Vol.
No
$750b-1T
$604,875 Vol.
No
$1-2T
$444,793 Vol.
No
>$2T
$763,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Market Opened: Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,914,931End Date
Jun 30, 2025Market Opened
Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




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