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Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?

$225,649 Vol.

Dec 31, 2024

Yes

100% chance 6%

Source: Polymarket.com

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the shooter of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson used a gun created in part or whole through 3D printing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the gun the shooter used was created wholly through any method other than 3D printing.

If any portion of the gun used by the shooter was created through 3D printing, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". If the suppressor used by the shooter was created through 3D printing, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether the shooter's gun was 3D printed or not. If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.

Volume

$225,649

End Date

Dec 31, 2024

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Comments (67)
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

Azub

4mo ago

Scam! 31st of December is not there yet to resolve the market, nor the evidence were brought out

Not one source saying that the gun found on him was in fact the same gun used in the shooting? Why was this closed…

Droogg

4mo ago

How the fuck did this close before the 31st? There was no statements. If Polymarket is going to let UMA whales dictate outcomes they will lose their user base

HentaiGooner

Yeah its manipulated market by UMA Whales. There was no reason to close this before 31st.

Jgyuig

4mo ago

Because there were ballistic reports confirming the gun was a match...

HentaiGooner

This should resolve 50/50 or not resolve before december 31st and No otherwise this market is scam

I think

IUnderstandItNow

These rules are actually written quite well I think.

zoone

4mo ago

Why are there 2 separate UMA votings in progress? What happens if come to a different resolution? Fact check: did Brian Thompson perp use 3D printed gun? Polymarket | 2024-12-18, 11:11 AM Fact check: did Brian Thompson perp use 3D printed gun? Polymarket | 2024-12-18, 10:03 AM

Car

Car

4mo ago

This needs to be disputed

IGS

4mo ago

Go on then mr 200k in proffit

wokefed

4mo ago

it was in the charging document

Droogg

4mo ago

This is gonna resolve No or refund bets if no statement is issued, which I doubt by year end

pustirnik

pustirnik

4mo ago

yes

vduyf

4mo ago

yes

Jgyuig

4mo ago

The rules clearly state: "If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely."

PerCapita

PerCapita

4mo ago

What do you think happens if we make it to Dec 31 without a statement from law enforcement? Is the police report describing the weapons enough?

Jgyuig

4mo ago

@PerCapita

It should be. The question is what the police believe. If they didn't believe he did it, with that gun - why would they arrest him?

frosen

frosen

4mo ago

people are starting to realise there's currently no proper evidence that gun was actually used to shoot him

Vegemite

4mo ago

This market makes no sense, how do we 100% even know he is the shooter? What happened to innocent until proven guilty?

Jgyuig

4mo ago

Rules say "most likely" not 100%. Bro even court cases are not 100%

Intuition

4mo ago

What is the point of doing a "fact check" that relies on the sources that we have always relied on?

LkGH

4mo ago

The rules state: If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely. So if they don't find anything definitive, it will be based on what police thinks.

dav1

4mo ago

Please resolve: After he was placed into custody, Mangione was transported to the Altoona Police Department’s station, where officers located a black, 3D-printed pistol and a black silencer in his backpack, according to a criminal complaint. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/09/nyregion/unitedhealthcare-ceo-shooting-news

bodyisnumb

bodyisnumb

4mo ago

not saying that you are wrong, but this needs to be examined to confirm. Maybe he had several guns

Hey is there a way around the USA limitation? I want to play this one.

MyJealousLittleStepBrother

Officers located a black 3D-printed pistol and black silencer. Page 4 of the police report https://www.foxnews.com/us/local-pennsylvania-officer-hailed-hero-swift-actions-arrest-unitedhealthcare-ceo-murder-suspect

PerCapita

PerCapita

4mo ago

The silencer was printed, so that's a wrap.

Feligua

Feligua

4mo ago

@PerCapita

Silencer is not part of the gun.

Herodotus

4mo ago

After he was placed into custody, Mangione was transported to the Altoona Police Department’s station, where officers located a black, 3D-printed pistol and a black silencer in his backpack, according to a criminal complaint.

tootired

tootired

4mo ago

CNN has a picture of the gun. Looks like a Glock but idk

PerCapita

PerCapita

4mo ago

The one on CNN is printed. The texture on the grip in their photo gives it away.

Sally23

4mo ago

@PerCapita

Could'nt it be a hybrid? The grip looks 3d printed, indeed. But the rest doesnt look printed at all, it looks super clean and well made

ibetstupid

4mo ago

people think he'd have the gun he killed him with ON him? i wouldn't bet that far lol

PerCapita

PerCapita

4mo ago

Would he bother with printed guns if he had access to better ones? If he has multiple guns, I think they're all printed.

ogre1789

4mo ago

"in part" lol, so if he 3d printed some minor part and stuck it on it's a 3D printed gun

IGS

4mo ago

Yes, that's what the media love. A way to shite on 3d printers still. 99% a metal, real gun. But add a 3D printed grip and they've got a nice news story to sell 'anyone can print their own gun now' etc.

ogre1789

4mo ago

@IGS

they want make all 3d printers able to work only when connected to big brother

Gun he was found with isnt the one he used on the guy lol

YungOldBwoy

Free Money

YungOldBwoy

Its confirmed a ghost gun aka 3d printed

RTG89

4mo ago

Firstly, they have found a gun of his, wether that is the one he used is a different question and secondly, no, a ghost gun is not neccessarily 3d printed.

TadejFocacia

In a newspaper i read its a vp 9 veterinary

SummerWind

SummerWind

4mo ago

“As of right now the information we’re getting from Altoona is that the gun appears to be a ghost gun that may have been made on a 3D printer, capable of firing a 9 mm round,” is there a confirmation other than "may have been""

Manaray

Manaray

4mo ago

https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2024/12/thumbnail_Mangione_firearm.jpg?quality=85&strip=all&fit=674%2C610&w=975&h=548&crop=1 doesnt look 3d printed on first sight. Could be though, what are the primary sources for yes?

Jgyuig

4mo ago

The hand grip and stippling on the lower looks very 3D printed

artjon

artjon

4mo ago

this was confirmed already

Car

Car

4mo ago

lol

Pobjeda-95

Pobjeda-95

4mo ago

Wtf is this Market Nigga

Outcome: Yes