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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$103,057 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$103,057 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Finland

$24,025 Vol.

78%

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Israel

$11,326 Vol.

60%

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

France

$5,046 Vol.

57%

Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Denmark

$9,881 Vol.

55%

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Greece

$10,477 Vol.

54%

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Australia

$2,959 Vol.

53%

Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Sweden

$13,980 Vol.

36%

Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Ukraine

$2,476 Vol.

36%

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Romania

$1,596 Vol.

31%

Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Italy

$2,261 Vol.

29%

Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

United Kingdom

$281 Vol.

12%

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgaria

$142 Vol.

18%

Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Latvia

$33 Vol.

10%

Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Czechia

$235 Vol.

16%

Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Cyprus

$5,740 Vol.

15%

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Moldova

$305 Vol.

15%

Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Serbia

$382 Vol.

15%

Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Malta

$4,326 Vol.

13%

Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Estonia

$240 Vol.

23%

Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Lithuania

$582 Vol.

9%

Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Austria

$367 Vol.

9%

Will Montenegro be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Montenegro

$127 Vol.

8%

Will San Marino be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

San Marino

$26 Vol.

8%

Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Norway

$1,402 Vol.

8%

Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Croatia

$499 Vol.

8%

Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Azerbaijan

$808 Vol.

7%

Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Luxembourg

$194 Vol.

6%

Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Poland

$55 Vol.

24%

Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Switzerland

$432 Vol.

6%

Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Germany

$1,085 Vol.

6%

Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Armenia

$626 Vol.

6%

Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Albania

$372 Vol.

10%

Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Belgium

$552 Vol.

4%

Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? icon

Georgia

$231 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 placement, with bookmakers implying a 64% probability amid strong appeal to both juries and televoters through its classical-pop fusion and high-energy staging potential. National selections concluded across 35 countries, releasing all entries and sparking fan polls that mirror betting frontrunners like Israel (Noam Bettan - "Michelle," surging on recent buzz), France (Monroe - "Regarde!"), Australia (Delta Goodrem - "Eclipse"), and Denmark. Israel and Moldova have climbed sharply in the past week on live performance previews. Rehearsals begin next week in Vienna, host city after Austria's 2025 victory, where staging reveals and semi-final draws on May 12/14 could trigger volatility ahead of the May 16 final—traders watch for televote-jury splits common in recent contests.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$103,057
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 placement, with bookmakers implying a 64% probability amid strong appeal to both juries and televoters through its classical-pop fusion and high-energy staging potential. National selections concluded across 35 countries, releasing all entries and sparking fan polls that mirror betting frontrunners like Israel (Noam Bettan - "Michelle," surging on recent buzz), France (Monroe - "Regarde!"), Australia (Delta Goodrem - "Eclipse"), and Denmark. Israel and Moldova have climbed sharply in the past week on live performance previews. Rehearsals begin next week in Vienna, host city after Austria's 2025 victory, where staging reveals and semi-final draws on May 12/14 could trigger volatility ahead of the May 16 final—traders watch for televote-jury splits common in recent contests.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$103,057
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

69%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

91%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 78%, followed by "Israel" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $103.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.