Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?

$355,652 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan.

If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$355,652
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 11:57 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$355,652 Vol.

Market icon

Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?

<1% chance

About

On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan.

If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$355,652
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 11:57 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.