Donald Trump # of tweets Oct 4-11?
$441,556 Vol.
30-34 99.6%
35-39 <1%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
<5
$4,999 Vol.
No
<5
$4,999 Vol.
No
5-9
$25,802 Vol.
No
5-9
$25,802 Vol.
No
10-14
$31,271 Vol.
No
10-14
$31,271 Vol.
No
15-19
$32,337 Vol.
No
15-19
$32,337 Vol.
No
20-24
$11,354 Vol.
No
20-24
$11,354 Vol.
No
25-29
$42,490 Vol.
No
25-29
$42,490 Vol.
No
30-34
$34,833 Vol.
Yes
30-34
$34,833 Vol.
Yes
35-39
$18,589 Vol.
No
35-39
$18,589 Vol.
No
40-49
$44,666 Vol.
No
40-49
$44,666 Vol.
No
50+
$195,215 Vol.
No
50+
$195,215 Vol.
No
Rules
If Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts less than 5 times on X between October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and October 11, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1345967072006828033 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1345967072006828033 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source
Created At: Oct 4, 2024, 7:00 PM
Volume
$441,556End Date
Oct 11, 2024Created At
Oct 4, 2024, 7:00 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$441,556 Vol.
Donald Trump # of tweets Oct 4-11?
30-34 99.6%
35-39 <1%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
<5
$4,999 Vol.
No
5-9
$25,802 Vol.
No
10-14
$31,271 Vol.
No
15-19
$32,337 Vol.
No
20-24
$11,354 Vol.
No
25-29
$42,490 Vol.
No
30-34
$34,833 Vol.
Yes
35-39
$18,589 Vol.
No
40-49
$44,666 Vol.
No
50+
$195,215 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$441,556End Date
Oct 11, 2024Created At
Oct 4, 2024, 7:00 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.