1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%
<1.00ºC <1%
1.00–1.04ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
$719,738 Vol.
$719,738 Vol.
Jan 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$147,163 Vol.
No
<1.00ºC
$147,163 Vol.
No
1.00–1.04ºC
$141,511 Vol.
No
1.00–1.04ºC
$141,511 Vol.
No
1.05–1.09ºC
$142,654 Vol.
Yes
1.05–1.09ºC
$142,654 Vol.
Yes
1.10–1.14ºC
$80,114 Vol.
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$80,114 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$74,315 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$74,315 Vol.
No
>1.19ºC
$133,981 Vol.
No
>1.19ºC
$133,981 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Dec 10, 2025, 6:19 PM ET
Volume
$719,738End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%
<1.00ºC <1%
1.00–1.04ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
$719,738 Vol.
$719,738 Vol.
Jan 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$147,163 Vol.
No
1.00–1.04ºC
$141,511 Vol.
No
1.05–1.09ºC
$142,654 Vol.
Yes
1.10–1.14ºC
$80,114 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$74,315 Vol.
No
>1.19ºC
$133,981 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$719,738End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.