Market icon

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$167,212 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 1, 2025 2:00 PM ET, and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$167,212
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 1, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 1, 2025 2:00 PM ET, and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$167,212 Vol.

Polymarket

December 15, 2025

$125,058 Vol.

Yes

December 31, 2025

$42,153 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume
$167,212
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 1, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Beware of external links.