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2nd richest person on March 31?

Market icon

2nd richest person on March 31?

Larry Page 100.0%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Steve Ballmer <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$313,051 Vol.

Larry Page 100.0%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Steve Ballmer <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$313,051 Vol.

Market icon

Bernard Arnault

$11,404 Vol.

No

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Steve Ballmer

$9,674 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$33,571 Vol.

No

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Jeff Bezos

$21,011 Vol.

No

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Larry Page

$145,588 Vol.

Yes

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Mark Zuckerberg

$34,775 Vol.

No

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Warren Buffett

$7,329 Vol.

No

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Larry Ellison

$9,506 Vol.

No

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Jensen Huang

$14,861 Vol.

No

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Sergey Brin

$25,332 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Larry Page as the second-richest person per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET, reflecting his commanding $236 billion net worth—$12 billion ahead of Jeff Bezos ($224 billion) and Sergey Brin ($220 billion)—behind frontrunner Elon Musk. Alphabet's sustained stock momentum from AI advancements and cloud computing dominance throughout early 2026 solidified Page's position, with Google co-founders collectively gaining over $189 billion year-to-date prior to a uniform late-March market slump that trimmed tech fortunes without reshuffling the top ranks. Realistic upsets would require unprecedented intraday swings, such as Amazon or Alphabet asset announcements, before cutoff—scenarios historically rare given the index's end-of-day methodology and stable daily gaps.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$313,051
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Larry Page as the second-richest person per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET, reflecting his commanding $236 billion net worth—$12 billion ahead of Jeff Bezos ($224 billion) and Sergey Brin ($220 billion)—behind frontrunner Elon Musk. Alphabet's sustained stock momentum from AI advancements and cloud computing dominance throughout early 2026 solidified Page's position, with Google co-founders collectively gaining over $189 billion year-to-date prior to a uniform late-March market slump that trimmed tech fortunes without reshuffling the top ranks. Realistic upsets would require unprecedented intraday swings, such as Amazon or Alphabet asset announcements, before cutoff—scenarios historically rare given the index's end-of-day methodology and stable daily gaps.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$313,051
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd richest person on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Page" at 100%, followed by "Bernard Arnault" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd richest person on March 31?" has generated $313.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd richest person on March 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd richest person on March 31?" is "Larry Page" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernard Arnault" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd richest person on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.