2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
4th or lower 62%
3rd hottest 32%
2nd hottest 5.5%
1st hottest 1.2%
$15,762 Vol.
$15,762 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
1st hottest
$743 Vol.
1%
1st hottest
$743 Vol.
1%
2nd hottest
$418 Vol.
6%
2nd hottest
$418 Vol.
6%
3rd hottest
$6,801 Vol.
32%
3rd hottest
$6,801 Vol.
32%
4th or lower
$7,800 Vol.
62%
4th or lower
$7,800 Vol.
62%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.
Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.
Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Created At: Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$15,762End Date
Mar 10, 2026Created At
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
4th or lower 62%
3rd hottest 32%
2nd hottest 5.5%
1st hottest 1.2%
$15,762 Vol.
$15,762 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
1st hottest
$743 Vol.
1%
2nd hottest
$418 Vol.
6%
3rd hottest
$6,801 Vol.
32%
4th or lower
$7,800 Vol.
62%
About
Volume
$15,762End Date
Mar 10, 2026Created At
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.