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Política·Trump

¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$160,172 Vol.

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$160,172 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.2% against President Trump filing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any such legal action amid stalled DOJ investigations into alleged Fed building renovation mismanagement. A federal judge ruled on March 13 that Trump administration subpoenas targeting Powell amounted to harassment, blocking the probe and citing no evidence for criminal pursuit, with prosecutors confirming this on March 24 despite a DOJ appeal request. Powell's term ends in May, shifting focus to Senate confirmation of a successor like Kevin Warsh, but legal barriers and judicial rebukes have extinguished momentum for a timely suit, barring an unforeseen late filing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.2% against President Trump filing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any such legal action amid stalled DOJ investigations into alleged Fed building renovation mismanagement. A federal judge ruled on March 13 that Trump administration subpoenas targeting Powell amounted to harassment, blocking the probe and citing no evidence for criminal pursuit, with prosecutors confirming this on March 24 despite a DOJ appeal request. Powell's term ends in May, shifting focus to Senate confirmation of a successor like Kevin Warsh, but legal barriers and judicial rebukes have extinguished momentum for a timely suit, barring an unforeseen late filing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.2% against President Trump filing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any such legal action amid stalled DOJ investigations into alleged Fed building renovation mismanagement. A federal judge ruled on March 13 that Trump administration subpoenas targeting Powell amounted to harassment, blocking the probe and citing no evidence for criminal pursuit, with prosecutors confirming this on March 24 despite a DOJ appeal request. Powell's term ends in May, shifting focus to Senate confirmation of a successor like Kevin Warsh, but legal barriers and judicial rebukes have extinguished momentum for a timely suit, barring an unforeseen late filing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.2% against President Trump filing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any such legal action amid stalled DOJ investigations into alleged Fed building renovation mismanagement. A federal judge ruled on March 13 that Trump administration subpoenas targeting Powell amounted to harassment, blocking the probe and citing no evidence for criminal pursuit, with prosecutors confirming this on March 24 despite a DOJ appeal request. Powell's term ends in May, shifting focus to Senate confirmation of a successor like Kevin Warsh, but legal barriers and judicial rebukes have extinguished momentum for a timely suit, barring an unforeseen late filing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Demandará Trump a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $160.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Demandará Trump a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump demandará a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.