Trader consensus shows 99.4% implied probability against President-elect Donald Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, 2025, reflecting the formidable logistical barriers post-January 20 inauguration. Trump's late-2024 proposal for $5 million "gold cards" as permanent residency for highly skilled immigrants to replace H-1B visas requires new executive orders, DHS and USCIS regulatory rulemaking, application processing infrastructure, and potential congressional input—timelines that conventionally exceed months amid transition priorities like cabinet confirmations and mass deportation planning. No official announcements signal acceleration. Rare scenarios for reversal include an immediate post-inauguration executive action with expedited approvals, though historical precedent for such speed in immigration policy remains absent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$222,828 Vol.
$222,828 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$222,828 Vol.
$222,828 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus shows 99.4% implied probability against President-elect Donald Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, 2025, reflecting the formidable logistical barriers post-January 20 inauguration. Trump's late-2024 proposal for $5 million "gold cards" as permanent residency for highly skilled immigrants to replace H-1B visas requires new executive orders, DHS and USCIS regulatory rulemaking, application processing infrastructure, and potential congressional input—timelines that conventionally exceed months amid transition priorities like cabinet confirmations and mass deportation planning. No official announcements signal acceleration. Rare scenarios for reversal include an immediate post-inauguration executive action with expedited approvals, though historical precedent for such speed in immigration policy remains absent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ET
Volumen
$222,828Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus shows 99.4% implied probability against President-elect Donald Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, 2025, reflecting the formidable logistical barriers post-January 20 inauguration. Trump's late-2024 proposal for $5 million "gold cards" as permanent residency for highly skilled immigrants to replace H-1B visas requires new executive orders, DHS and USCIS regulatory rulemaking, application processing infrastructure, and potential congressional input—timelines that conventionally exceed months amid transition priorities like cabinet confirmations and mass deportation planning. No official announcements signal acceleration. Rare scenarios for reversal include an immediate post-inauguration executive action with expedited approvals, though historical precedent for such speed in immigration policy remains absent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$222,828Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus shows 99.4% implied probability against President-elect Donald Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, 2025, reflecting the formidable logistical barriers post-January 20 inauguration. Trump's late-2024 proposal for $5 million "gold cards" as permanent residency for highly skilled immigrants to replace H-1B visas requires new executive orders, DHS and USCIS regulatory rulemaking, application processing infrastructure, and potential congressional input—timelines that conventionally exceed months amid transition priorities like cabinet confirmations and mass deportation planning. No official announcements signal acceleration. Rare scenarios for reversal include an immediate post-inauguration executive action with expedited approvals, though historical precedent for such speed in immigration policy remains absent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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