Name: ¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?
Start: 2025-11-05T16:41:31.038997Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

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Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

1-100

101-1k

1k-2.5k

2.5k-5k

5k-10k

10k-25k

25k-100k

>100k

Tarjeta Dorada

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


¿Emitirá Trump una Tarjeta Dorada antes del 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump issue a Gold Card before July?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by April 18, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.  

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Cuántas tarjetas de oro venderá Trump en 2025?

As of market creation, AT&T is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for AT&T’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.47 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if AT&T reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.47 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If AT&T releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


¿AT&T (T) superará las ganancias trimestrales?

As of market creation, CME Group is estimated to release earnings on February 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CME Group’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CME Group reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If CME Group releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


¿Superará CME Group (CME) las ganancias trimestrales?

As of market creation, New York Times Company is estimated to release earnings on February 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for New York Times Company’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York Times Company reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If New York Times Company releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


¿La compañía New York Times (NYT) superará las ganancias trimestrales?

As of market creation, Texas Instruments is estimated to release earnings on January 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Instruments's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Instruments reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. 
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


¿Texas Instruments (TXN) superará las ganancias trimestrales?

As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Tesla releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


¿Tesla (TSLA) superará las ganancias trimestrales?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

0
$10,995 Vol.
9%

1-100
$2,458 Vol.
10%

101-1k
$2,378 Vol.
6%

1k-2.5k
$2,232 Vol.
12%

2.5k-5k
$1,481 Vol.
16%

5k-10k
$649 Vol.
20%

10k-25k
$47,992 Vol.
9%

25k-100k
$1,290 Vol.
15%

>100k
$3,982 Vol.
5%

Contexto del Mercado

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Reglas

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Acerca de

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

0$10,995 Vol.9%Comprar Sí9¢Comprar No92¢

1-100$2,458 Vol.10%Comprar Sí10.1¢Comprar No90.5¢

101-1k$2,378 Vol.6%Comprar Sí8.0¢Comprar No95.5¢

1k-2.5k$2,232 Vol.12%Comprar Sí13.5¢Comprar No88.9¢

2.5k-5k$1,481 Vol.16%Comprar Sí20.6¢Comprar No87.6¢

5k-10k$649 Vol.20%Comprar Sí19.9¢Comprar No80.2¢

10k-25k$47,992 Vol.9%Comprar Sí10.0¢Comprar No92.4¢

25k-100k$1,290 Vol.15%Comprar Sí16.5¢Comprar No85.8¢

>100k$3,982 Vol.5%Comprar Sí5.6¢Comprar No95.9¢

Contexto del Mercado

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Reglas

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Cuántas Tarjetas de Oro venderá Trump en 2026?

Acerca de

0
$10,995 Vol.
9%

1-100
$2,458 Vol.
10%

101-1k
$2,378 Vol.
6%

1k-2.5k
$2,232 Vol.
12%

2.5k-5k
$1,481 Vol.
16%

5k-10k
$649 Vol.
20%

10k-25k
$47,992 Vol.
9%

25k-100k
$1,290 Vol.
15%

>100k
$3,982 Vol.
5%