Trader skepticism dominates the market for Trump's proposed Gold Card sales in 2026—a $5 million green card program pitched during the 2024 campaign to attract wealthy immigrants and fund debt reduction—with 30% odds on zero sales reflecting doubts over implementation amid legal and procedural barriers. No executive orders, DHS rulemaking, or congressional legislation has advanced the idea since Election Day, prioritizing mass deportation rhetoric and border security over new visa pathways that require statutory changes or EB-5 program tweaks. The 19% chance for 1-100 sales differentiates as a modest executive action scenario, appealing to limited high-net-worth buyers like Chinese investors, while higher brackets (e.g., 10k-25k at 7%) hinge on unlikely rapid approvals. Consolidation could follow DHS secretary confirmation hearings, debt ceiling deadlines, or early immigration bill votes, tilting toward low-volume outcomes if fiscal pressures mount without base backlash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?
¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?
0 30%
1-100 20.3%
25k-100k 9.5%
101-1k 8.8%
$118,543 Vol.
$118,543 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
20%
101-1k
9%
1k-2.5k
8%
2.5k-5k
8%
5k-10k
7%
10k-25k
7%
25k-100k
10%
>100k
5%
0 30%
1-100 20.3%
25k-100k 9.5%
101-1k 8.8%
$118,543 Vol.
$118,543 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,853 Vol.
30%
1-100
$9,448 Vol.
20%
101-1k
$4,777 Vol.
9%
1k-2.5k
$7,225 Vol.
8%
2.5k-5k
$4,216 Vol.
8%
5k-10k
$4,525 Vol.
7%
10k-25k
$51,594 Vol.
7%
25k-100k
$4,096 Vol.
10%
>100k
$8,807 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader skepticism dominates the market for Trump's proposed Gold Card sales in 2026—a $5 million green card program pitched during the 2024 campaign to attract wealthy immigrants and fund debt reduction—with 30% odds on zero sales reflecting doubts over implementation amid legal and procedural barriers. No executive orders, DHS rulemaking, or congressional legislation has advanced the idea since Election Day, prioritizing mass deportation rhetoric and border security over new visa pathways that require statutory changes or EB-5 program tweaks. The 19% chance for 1-100 sales differentiates as a modest executive action scenario, appealing to limited high-net-worth buyers like Chinese investors, while higher brackets (e.g., 10k-25k at 7%) hinge on unlikely rapid approvals. Consolidation could follow DHS secretary confirmation hearings, debt ceiling deadlines, or early immigration bill votes, tilting toward low-volume outcomes if fiscal pressures mount without base backlash.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volumen
$118,543Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader skepticism dominates the market for Trump's proposed Gold Card sales in 2026—a $5 million green card program pitched during the 2024 campaign to attract wealthy immigrants and fund debt reduction—with 30% odds on zero sales reflecting doubts over implementation amid legal and procedural barriers. No executive orders, DHS rulemaking, or congressional legislation has advanced the idea since Election Day, prioritizing mass deportation rhetoric and border security over new visa pathways that require statutory changes or EB-5 program tweaks. The 19% chance for 1-100 sales differentiates as a modest executive action scenario, appealing to limited high-net-worth buyers like Chinese investors, while higher brackets (e.g., 10k-25k at 7%) hinge on unlikely rapid approvals. Consolidation could follow DHS secretary confirmation hearings, debt ceiling deadlines, or early immigration bill votes, tilting toward low-volume outcomes if fiscal pressures mount without base backlash.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$118,543Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader skepticism dominates the market for Trump's proposed Gold Card sales in 2026—a $5 million green card program pitched during the 2024 campaign to attract wealthy immigrants and fund debt reduction—with 30% odds on zero sales reflecting doubts over implementation amid legal and procedural barriers. No executive orders, DHS rulemaking, or congressional legislation has advanced the idea since Election Day, prioritizing mass deportation rhetoric and border security over new visa pathways that require statutory changes or EB-5 program tweaks. The 19% chance for 1-100 sales differentiates as a modest executive action scenario, appealing to limited high-net-worth buyers like Chinese investors, while higher brackets (e.g., 10k-25k at 7%) hinge on unlikely rapid approvals. Consolidation could follow DHS secretary confirmation hearings, debt ceiling deadlines, or early immigration bill votes, tilting toward low-volume outcomes if fiscal pressures mount without base backlash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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