Market icon
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17

Cait Conley 60%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 13.3%

Effie Phillips-Staley 4.8%

Polymarket

$49,817 Vol.

Cait Conley 60%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 13.3%

Effie Phillips-Staley 4.8%

Polymarket

$49,817 Vol.

Cait Conley

$25,142 Vol.

60%

Beth Davidson

$21,451 Vol.

20%

Peter Chatzky

$2,530 Vol.

13%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$0 Vol.

5%

John Cappello

$0 Vol.

4%

Mike Sacks

$0 Vol.

2%

Jessica Reinmann

$693 Vol.

1%

John Sullivan

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Cait Conley at 59.5% to win the NY-17 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by her combat veteran background, West Point credentials, and recent endorsements from Rep. Pat Ryan in January and the New Democrat Coalition on March 24, positioning her as the strongest general election challenger to GOP incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds second at 20% amid a March internal poll showing her early lead and local name recognition, while tech executive Peter Chatzky sits at 13.3% despite self-funding but hampered by a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts. A February Politico poll highlighted a tight three-way race among the top contenders, with forums underscoring attack exchanges; upcoming candidate events and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the filing deadline on April 6.

Trader consensus favors Cait Conley at 59.5% to win the NY-17 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by her combat veteran background, West Point credentials, and recent endorsements from Rep. Pat Ryan in January and the New Democrat Coalition on March 24, positioning her as the strongest general election challenger to GOP incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds second at 20% amid a March internal poll showing her early lead and local name recognition, while tech executive Peter Chatzky sits at 13.3% despite self-funding but hampered by a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts. A February Politico poll highlighted a tight three-way race among the top contenders, with forums underscoring attack exchanges; upcoming candidate events and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the filing deadline on April 6.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Cait Conley at 59.5% to win the NY-17 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by her combat veteran background, West Point credentials, and recent endorsements from Rep. Pat Ryan in January and the New Democrat Coalition on March 24, positioning her as the strongest general election challenger to GOP incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds second at 20% amid a March internal poll showing her early lead and local name recognition, while tech executive Peter Chatzky sits at 13.3% despite self-funding but hampered by a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts. A February Politico poll highlighted a tight three-way race among the top contenders, with forums underscoring attack exchanges; upcoming candidate events and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the filing deadline on April 6.

Trader consensus favors Cait Conley at 59.5% to win the NY-17 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by her combat veteran background, West Point credentials, and recent endorsements from Rep. Pat Ryan in January and the New Democrat Coalition on March 24, positioning her as the strongest general election challenger to GOP incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds second at 20% amid a March internal poll showing her early lead and local name recognition, while tech executive Peter Chatzky sits at 13.3% despite self-funding but hampered by a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts. A February Politico poll highlighted a tight three-way race among the top contenders, with forums underscoring attack exchanges; upcoming candidate events and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the filing deadline on April 6.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cait Conley" con 60%, seguido de "Beth Davidson" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" ha generado $49.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" es "Cait Conley" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Beth Davidson" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.