¿Qué coalición formará el próximo gobierno de los Países Bajos?
VVD + CDA + D66 92.8%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 1.2%
Sin coalición para el 31 de octubre <1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%
$27,321,381 Vol.
$27,321,381 Vol.
VVD + CDA + D66
$795,695 Vol.
93%
VVD + CDA + D66
$795,695 Vol.
93%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$768,031 Vol.
1%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$768,031 Vol.
1%
Sin coalición para el 31 de octubre
$492,724 Vol.
1%
Sin coalición para el 31 de octubre
$492,724 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
$507,160 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
$507,160 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
$887,658 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
$887,658 Vol.
1%
CDA + D66
$314,182 Vol.
1%
CDA + D66
$314,182 Vol.
1%
Otro
$878,031 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$878,031 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA
$3,858,904 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA
$3,858,904 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$62,338 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$62,338 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
$201,929 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
$201,929 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
$717,854 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
$717,854 Vol.
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD
$946,056 Vol.
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD
$946,056 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA
$913,440 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA
$913,440 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
$772,720 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
$772,720 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
$1,175,890 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
$1,175,890 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
$1,102,577 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
$1,102,577 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$666,213 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$666,213 Vol.
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA
$460,169 Vol.
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA
$460,169 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
$52,875 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
$52,875 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,176,442 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,176,442 Vol.
<1%
VVD + JA21
$226,073 Vol.
<1%
VVD + JA21
$226,073 Vol.
<1%
VVD + D66
$203,124 Vol.
<1%
VVD + D66
$203,124 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$300,587 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$300,587 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
$5,791,166 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
$5,791,166 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: GL/PvdA + D66
$34,657 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: GL/PvdA + D66
$34,657 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
$241,157 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
$241,157 Vol.
<1%
Título del elemento de grupo: GL/PvdA + VVD
$181,223 Vol.
<1%
Título del elemento de grupo: GL/PvdA + VVD
$181,223 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$2,585,261 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$2,585,261 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
$611,251 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
$611,251 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$394,951 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$394,951 Vol.
<1%
Reglas
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
Creado en: Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...¿Qué coalición formará el próximo gobierno de los Países Bajos?
VVD + CDA + D66 92.8%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 1.2%
Sin coalición para el 31 de octubre <1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%
$27,321,381 Vol.
$27,321,381 Vol.
VVD + CDA + D66
93%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
1%
Sin coalición para el 31 de octubre
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
1%
CDA + D66
1%
Otro
<1%
VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD
<1%
PVV + CDA
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
<1%
Título del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
<1%
VVD + JA21
<1%
VVD + D66
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: GL/PvdA + D66
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
<1%
Título del elemento de grupo: GL/PvdA + VVD
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
<1%
GL/PvdA
<1%
Acerca de
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.