President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posts issuing ultimatums to Iran—including a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of escalated strikes on energy sites, and calls for negotiators to "get serious"—have elevated trader consensus around foreign policy phrases like "Embargo" (24%), "Finish the Job" (22%), and "Khamenei" (19%), reflecting anticipation of continued direct communication on the conflict. With volume exceeding $460,000, markets price these amid ongoing de-escalation talks described by Trump as "productive," though no major speeches are scheduled beyond his March 29 departure from Palm Beach to the White House. Domestic terms like "Ethanol" (11%) trail, underscoring Iran as the dominant catalyst through April 5 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$475,277 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
15%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
5%
Ethanol
3%
Embargo
9%
Finish the Job
14%
Khamenei
5%
Chuck Norris
3%
$475,277 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,715 Vol.
15%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,550 Vol.
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,792 Vol.
5%
Ethanol
$11,585 Vol.
3%
Embargo
$8,781 Vol.
9%
Finish the Job
$3,885 Vol.
14%
Khamenei
$53,451 Vol.
5%
Chuck Norris
$8,976 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posts issuing ultimatums to Iran—including a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of escalated strikes on energy sites, and calls for negotiators to "get serious"—have elevated trader consensus around foreign policy phrases like "Embargo" (24%), "Finish the Job" (22%), and "Khamenei" (19%), reflecting anticipation of continued direct communication on the conflict. With volume exceeding $460,000, markets price these amid ongoing de-escalation talks described by Trump as "productive," though no major speeches are scheduled beyond his March 29 departure from Palm Beach to the White House. Domestic terms like "Ethanol" (11%) trail, underscoring Iran as the dominant catalyst through April 5 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$475,277Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posts issuing ultimatums to Iran—including a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of escalated strikes on energy sites, and calls for negotiators to "get serious"—have elevated trader consensus around foreign policy phrases like "Embargo" (24%), "Finish the Job" (22%), and "Khamenei" (19%), reflecting anticipation of continued direct communication on the conflict. With volume exceeding $460,000, markets price these amid ongoing de-escalation talks described by Trump as "productive," though no major speeches are scheduled beyond his March 29 departure from Palm Beach to the White House. Domestic terms like "Ethanol" (11%) trail, underscoring Iran as the dominant catalyst through April 5 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$475,277Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posts issuing ultimatums to Iran—including a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of escalated strikes on energy sites, and calls for negotiators to "get serious"—have elevated trader consensus around foreign policy phrases like "Embargo" (24%), "Finish the Job" (22%), and "Khamenei" (19%), reflecting anticipation of continued direct communication on the conflict. With volume exceeding $460,000, markets price these amid ongoing de-escalation talks described by Trump as "productive," though no major speeches are scheduled beyond his March 29 departure from Palm Beach to the White House. Domestic terms like "Ethanol" (11%) trail, underscoring Iran as the dominant catalyst through April 5 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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