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¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

Market icon

¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

$3,412,380 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 Vol.

Polymarket

América / americano más de 50 veces

$253,722 Vol.

América / americano 25+ veces

$344,560 Vol.

Trabajo 20+ veces

$118,366 Vol.

No

Millón / Mil millones / Billón 15+ veces

$159,242 Vol.

Biden 10 o más veces

$325,541 Vol.

No

Frontera 7 o más veces

$50,581 Vol.

Petróleo / Gas 3+ veces

$34,362 Vol.

IA / Inteligencia Artificial 2+ veces

$74,982 Vol.

Kamala / Harris

$47,442 Vol.

No

Más caluroso

$84,491 Vol.

Kennedy / Autismo

$21,892 Vol.

No

Medio Oriente

$40,063 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$330,713 Vol.

No

Israel / Gaza

$51,940 Vol.

MAGA / Hacer a Estados Unidos grande de nuevo

$37,961 Vol.

No

Negro / Hispano

$25,997 Vol.

No

Tarjeta de Oro / Carta Trump

$43,826 Vol.

No

El estado de la unión es fuerte

$498,637 Vol.

No

Epstein

$123,792 Vol.

No

Señor Presidente

$38,384 Vol.

No

Huevo

$46,373 Vol.

Estafa / Farsa

$11,638 Vol.

Carbón

$27,237 Vol.

No

Seis Siete

$93,163 Vol.

No

No No No

$22,623 Vol.

Nobel / Premio de la Paz

$54,134 Vol.

Demasiado tarde

$25,881 Vol.

No

Cacahuate

$16,638 Vol.

No

Galleta

$10,686 Vol.

No

CI

$23,990 Vol.

No

Esteroide

$8,987 Vol.

No

Extraterrestre

$68,903 Vol.

Fentanilo / Cocaína

$7,317 Vol.

Olímpico / Olímpicos

$36,044 Vol.

Corte Suprema

$11,027 Vol.

Nuclear

$19,312 Vol.

¡Perfora, bebé, perfora!

$17,304 Vol.

Eli Lilly

$5,746 Vol.

No

Autopen / Auto Pen

$10,211 Vol.

No

UFC

$19,812 Vol.

No

Noticias falsas

$27,451 Vol.

No

Hockey

$104,456 Vol.

Milagro

$31,395 Vol.

Capital del Mundo

$5,559 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,412,380
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "América / americano más de 50 veces" at 100%, followed by "América / americano 25+ veces" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is "América / americano más de 50 veces" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "América / americano 25+ veces" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Qué dirá Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.