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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Phil Scott

$771 Vol.

81%

John Rodgers

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's widespread popularity and track record of commanding Republican primary victories—such as 69% in 2022—drive trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for the August 11 Vermont Republican gubernatorial primary. Recent polls, including a fall 2025 University of New Hampshire survey showing majority support for his reelection amid high approval ratings, reinforce this positioning, even as Scott has yet to formally announce his intentions. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, a bipartisan figure who announced his own reelection bid for that office in February, holds second at 10.5% without mounting a gubernatorial challenge or notable momentum. With candidate filing deadlines approaching in May, the field remains quiet, underscoring Scott's incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state.

Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's widespread popularity and track record of commanding Republican primary victories—such as 69% in 2022—drive trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for the August 11 Vermont Republican gubernatorial primary. Recent polls, including a fall 2025 University of New Hampshire survey showing majority support for his reelection amid high approval ratings, reinforce this positioning, even as Scott has yet to formally announce his intentions. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, a bipartisan figure who announced his own reelection bid for that office in February, holds second at 10.5% without mounting a gubernatorial challenge or notable momentum. With candidate filing deadlines approaching in May, the field remains quiet, underscoring Scott's incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's widespread popularity and track record of commanding Republican primary victories—such as 69% in 2022—drive trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for the August 11 Vermont Republican gubernatorial primary. Recent polls, including a fall 2025 University of New Hampshire survey showing majority support for his reelection amid high approval ratings, reinforce this positioning, even as Scott has yet to formally announce his intentions. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, a bipartisan figure who announced his own reelection bid for that office in February, holds second at 10.5% without mounting a gubernatorial challenge or notable momentum. With candidate filing deadlines approaching in May, the field remains quiet, underscoring Scott's incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state.

Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's widespread popularity and track record of commanding Republican primary victories—such as 69% in 2022—drive trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for the August 11 Vermont Republican gubernatorial primary. Recent polls, including a fall 2025 University of New Hampshire survey showing majority support for his reelection amid high approval ratings, reinforce this positioning, even as Scott has yet to formally announce his intentions. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, a bipartisan figure who announced his own reelection bid for that office in February, holds second at 10.5% without mounting a gubernatorial challenge or notable momentum. With candidate filing deadlines approaching in May, the field remains quiet, underscoring Scott's incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Phil Scott" con 81%, seguido de "John Rodgers" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont" es "Phil Scott" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Rodgers" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Vermont" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.