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Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Ben McAdams 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

Kathleen Riebe 6.0%

Brian King 1.0%

Polymarket

$11,306 Vol.

Ben McAdams 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

Kathleen Riebe 6.0%

Brian King 1.0%

Polymarket

$11,306 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$5,494 Vol.

47%

Nate Blouin

$1,924 Vol.

47%

Kathleen Riebe

$0 Vol.

6%

Brian King

$0 Vol.

1%

Jenny Wilson

$0 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,486 Vol.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$0 Vol.

1%

Caroline Gleich

$402 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ben McAdams" con 47%, seguido de "Nate Blouin" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $11.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Ben McAdams" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nate Blouin" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.