Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30

Everett Jackson 82.7%

Sholdon Daniels 13%

Gregor Heise 4.1%

Nils Walker 1.8%

Polymarket

$22,364 Vol.

Everett Jackson 82.7%

Sholdon Daniels 13%

Gregor Heise 4.1%

Nils Walker 1.8%

Polymarket

$22,364 Vol.

Everett Jackson

$2,269 Vol.

83%

Sholdon Daniels

$8,871 Vol.

13%

Gregor Heise

$10,111 Vol.

4%

Nils Walker

$1,113 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), driving trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for Jackson as the nominee amid expectations of voter consolidation behind the first-round leader. Gregorio Heise's third-place 19% and Nils Walker's lower share position them as longshots with negligible paths absent extraordinary developments like a candidate withdrawal. In this Democratic-leaning district with historically low GOP runoff turnout, no post-primary polls, endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past 25 days to alter the dynamics, cementing Jackson's frontrunner status based on demonstrated primary strength.

Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), driving trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for Jackson as the nominee amid expectations of voter consolidation behind the first-round leader. Gregorio Heise's third-place 19% and Nils Walker's lower share position them as longshots with negligible paths absent extraordinary developments like a candidate withdrawal. In this Democratic-leaning district with historically low GOP runoff turnout, no post-primary polls, endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past 25 days to alter the dynamics, cementing Jackson's frontrunner status based on demonstrated primary strength.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), driving trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for Jackson as the nominee amid expectations of voter consolidation behind the first-round leader. Gregorio Heise's third-place 19% and Nils Walker's lower share position them as longshots with negligible paths absent extraordinary developments like a candidate withdrawal. In this Democratic-leaning district with historically low GOP runoff turnout, no post-primary polls, endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past 25 days to alter the dynamics, cementing Jackson's frontrunner status based on demonstrated primary strength.

Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), driving trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for Jackson as the nominee amid expectations of voter consolidation behind the first-round leader. Gregorio Heise's third-place 19% and Nils Walker's lower share position them as longshots with negligible paths absent extraordinary developments like a candidate withdrawal. In this Democratic-leaning district with historically low GOP runoff turnout, no post-primary polls, endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past 25 days to alter the dynamics, cementing Jackson's frontrunner status based on demonstrated primary strength.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Everett Jackson" con 83%, seguido de "Sholdon Daniels" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 83¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30" ha generado $22.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30" es "Everett Jackson" con 83%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sholdon Daniels" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del TX-30" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.