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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19

Tom Sell 85.8%

Abraham Enriquez 3.7%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

Matthew Smith 1.1%

Polymarket

$48,335 Vol.

Tom Sell 85.8%

Abraham Enriquez 3.7%

Ryan Zink 2.7%

Matthew Smith 1.1%

Polymarket

$48,335 Vol.

Tom Sell

$42,729 Vol.

90%

Abraham Enriquez

$0 Vol.

9%

Ryan Zink

$0 Vol.

3%

Matthew Smith

$0 Vol.

1%

Donald May

$2,993 Vol.

1%

Jason Corley

$0 Vol.

1%

James Barbee

$2,613 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Sell" con 90%, seguido de "Abraham Enriquez" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" ha generado $48.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" es "Tom Sell" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Abraham Enriquez" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.