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Política·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Partido Republicano

$1,281 Vol.

91%

Partido Demócrata

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide Republican primary victory on March 26—securing 89.5% against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth—has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House general election, reflecting the district's deep-red status with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, ranking it among the nation's safest Republican seats. Jackson's prior general election margins exceeded 75%, bolstered by $4.6 million cash on hand versus Democratic nominee Mark Nair's $6,000, following Nair's uncontested primary. Mid-decade redistricting in 2025 preserved the GOP tilt. While scenarios like a major scandal, health issues, or a Democratic national wave could shift odds before the November 3, 2026, contest, structural advantages maintain the commanding lead.

Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide Republican primary victory on March 26—securing 89.5% against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth—has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House general election, reflecting the district's deep-red status with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, ranking it among the nation's safest Republican seats. Jackson's prior general election margins exceeded 75%, bolstered by $4.6 million cash on hand versus Democratic nominee Mark Nair's $6,000, following Nair's uncontested primary. Mid-decade redistricting in 2025 preserved the GOP tilt. While scenarios like a major scandal, health issues, or a Democratic national wave could shift odds before the November 3, 2026, contest, structural advantages maintain the commanding lead.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide Republican primary victory on March 26—securing 89.5% against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth—has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House general election, reflecting the district's deep-red status with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, ranking it among the nation's safest Republican seats. Jackson's prior general election margins exceeded 75%, bolstered by $4.6 million cash on hand versus Democratic nominee Mark Nair's $6,000, following Nair's uncontested primary. Mid-decade redistricting in 2025 preserved the GOP tilt. While scenarios like a major scandal, health issues, or a Democratic national wave could shift odds before the November 3, 2026, contest, structural advantages maintain the commanding lead.

Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide Republican primary victory on March 26—securing 89.5% against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth—has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House general election, reflecting the district's deep-red status with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, ranking it among the nation's safest Republican seats. Jackson's prior general election margins exceeded 75%, bolstered by $4.6 million cash on hand versus Democratic nominee Mark Nair's $6,000, following Nair's uncontested primary. Mid-decade redistricting in 2025 preserved the GOP tilt. While scenarios like a major scandal, health issues, or a Democratic national wave could shift odds before the November 3, 2026, contest, structural advantages maintain the commanding lead.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Republicano" con 91%, seguido de "Partido Demócrata" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13" es "Partido Republicano" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Partido Demócrata" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-13" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.