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Política·Elecciones Globales

Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Globales

Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)

<56% 45.7%

59-60% 44.4%

58-59% 9.0%

60-61% 4.9%

Polymarket

$99,260 Vol.

<56% 45.7%

59-60% 44.4%

58-59% 9.0%

60-61% 4.9%

Polymarket

$99,260 Vol.

<56%

$12,022 Vol.

46%

56-57%

$9,321 Vol.

3%

57-58%

$13,311 Vol.

4%

58-59%

$0 Vol.

9%

59-60%

$55,251 Vol.

44%

60-61%

$0 Vol.

5%

61-62%

$9,355 Vol.

4%

>62%

$0 Vol.

3%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus prices a tight contest between under 56% turnout at 46% implied probability and 59-60% at 44%, reflecting persistent uncertainty over the National Electoral Council's (CNE) final certification for the November 30, 2025 general election, despite Nasry Asfura's narrow presidential victory declaration on December 24 following a partial recount of 15% of votes due to 14% inconsistent tally sheets. Preliminary CNE figures fluctuated around 58-60% amid initial high-turnout reports from OAS and EU observers, but fraud allegations from Liberal Party's Salvador Nasralla and LIBRE's Rixi Moncada, plus a congress-approved full recount in January, fueled skepticism and rural abstention rumors, keeping lower brackets viable against historical averages near 58%. Final audits or CNE revisions could tip odds, though Asfura's January 27 inauguration signals stability.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volumen
$99,260
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus prices a tight contest between under 56% turnout at 46% implied probability and 59-60% at 44%, reflecting persistent uncertainty over the National Electoral Council's (CNE) final certification for the November 30, 2025 general election, despite Nasry Asfura's narrow presidential victory declaration on December 24 following a partial recount of 15% of votes due to 14% inconsistent tally sheets. Preliminary CNE figures fluctuated around 58-60% amid initial high-turnout reports from OAS and EU observers, but fraud allegations from Liberal Party's Salvador Nasralla and LIBRE's Rixi Moncada, plus a congress-approved full recount in January, fueled skepticism and rural abstention rumors, keeping lower brackets viable against historical averages near 58%. Final audits or CNE revisions could tip odds, though Asfura's January 27 inauguration signals stability.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volumen
$99,260
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<56%" con 46%, seguido de "59-60%" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)" ha generado $99.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)" es "<56%" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "59-60%" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.