Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoParticipación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)
Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 Vol.
$33,699 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 Vol.
$33,699 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<56%
$11,034 Vol.
14%
56-57%
$0 Vol.
3%
57-58%
$13,311 Vol.
3%
58-59%
$0 Vol.
12%
59-60%
$0 Vol.
54%
60-61%
$0 Vol.
5%
61-62%
$9,355 Vol.
4%
>62%
$0 Vol.
3%
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$33,699Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volumen
$33,699Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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