Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout at 54% implied probability in the 2025 Honduran general election market, reflecting early January 2026 media calculations of 60.19% based on Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 3.926 million voters from 6.523 million registered, a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid voter apathy, fraud allegations, and logistical disruptions like technical glitches and incomplete acta processing. The narrow presidential race won by Nasry Asfura over Salvador Nasralla fueled disputes, with partial counts from independent observers like CNA suggesting around 58% and potential adjustments for null or blank votes (246,820 combined). Ongoing certification uncertainty, without full CNE finalization post-December declarations, sustains bets on slight downward revisions into 59-60%, while lower brackets like <56% account for abstentionism risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoParticipación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)
Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025 (grupos más pequeños)
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.6%
$43,021 Vol.
$43,021 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.6%
$43,021 Vol.
$43,021 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<56%
$11,034 Vol.
14%
56-57%
$9,321 Vol.
3%
57-58%
$13,311 Vol.
3%
58-59%
$0 Vol.
12%
59-60%
$0 Vol.
54%
60-61%
$0 Vol.
5%
61-62%
$9,355 Vol.
4%
>62%
$0 Vol.
3%
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout at 54% implied probability in the 2025 Honduran general election market, reflecting early January 2026 media calculations of 60.19% based on Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 3.926 million voters from 6.523 million registered, a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid voter apathy, fraud allegations, and logistical disruptions like technical glitches and incomplete acta processing. The narrow presidential race won by Nasry Asfura over Salvador Nasralla fueled disputes, with partial counts from independent observers like CNA suggesting around 58% and potential adjustments for null or blank votes (246,820 combined). Ongoing certification uncertainty, without full CNE finalization post-December declarations, sustains bets on slight downward revisions into 59-60%, while lower brackets like <56% account for abstentionism risks.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$43,021Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout at 54% implied probability in the 2025 Honduran general election market, reflecting early January 2026 media calculations of 60.19% based on Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 3.926 million voters from 6.523 million registered, a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid voter apathy, fraud allegations, and logistical disruptions like technical glitches and incomplete acta processing. The narrow presidential race won by Nasry Asfura over Salvador Nasralla fueled disputes, with partial counts from independent observers like CNA suggesting around 58% and potential adjustments for null or blank votes (246,820 combined). Ongoing certification uncertainty, without full CNE finalization post-December declarations, sustains bets on slight downward revisions into 59-60%, while lower brackets like <56% account for abstentionism risks.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volumen
$43,021Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout at 54% implied probability in the 2025 Honduran general election market, reflecting early January 2026 media calculations of 60.19% based on Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 3.926 million voters from 6.523 million registered, a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid voter apathy, fraud allegations, and logistical disruptions like technical glitches and incomplete acta processing. The narrow presidential race won by Nasry Asfura over Salvador Nasralla fueled disputes, with partial counts from independent observers like CNA suggesting around 58% and potential adjustments for null or blank votes (246,820 combined). Ongoing certification uncertainty, without full CNE finalization post-December declarations, sustains bets on slight downward revisions into 59-60%, while lower brackets like <56% account for abstentionism risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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