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¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?

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¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,075,551 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,075,551 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources. Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland. This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered. Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark and Greenland authorities have repeatedly affirmed that sovereignty over the territory remains non-negotiable, blocking any Trump-proposed acquisition deal despite U.S. diplomatic pressure and a vague January 2026 "framework" announcement with NATO on updating the 1951 defense agreement for expanded military access and mineral rights. With no binding bilateral agreement signed or imminent as of late March, and only days until the March 31 deadline, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.8% "No" probability, viewing entrenched opposition and procedural hurdles—including Greenland's self-rule and Danish parliamentary approval—as insurmountable. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen concession from Copenhagen or late-breaking executive action, though historical precedents favor stasis in territorial disputes.

Denmark and Greenland authorities have repeatedly affirmed that sovereignty over the territory remains non-negotiable, blocking any Trump-proposed acquisition deal despite U.S. diplomatic pressure and a vague January 2026 "framework" announcement with NATO on updating the 1951 defense agreement for expanded military access and mineral rights. With no binding bilateral agreement signed or imminent as of late March, and only days until the March 31 deadline, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.8% "No" probability, viewing entrenched opposition and procedural hurdles—including Greenland's self-rule and Danish parliamentary approval—as insurmountable. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen concession from Copenhagen or late-breaking executive action, though historical precedents favor stasis in territorial disputes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources. Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland. This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered. Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark and Greenland authorities have repeatedly affirmed that sovereignty over the territory remains non-negotiable, blocking any Trump-proposed acquisition deal despite U.S. diplomatic pressure and a vague January 2026 "framework" announcement with NATO on updating the 1951 defense agreement for expanded military access and mineral rights. With no binding bilateral agreement signed or imminent as of late March, and only days until the March 31 deadline, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.8% "No" probability, viewing entrenched opposition and procedural hurdles—including Greenland's self-rule and Danish parliamentary approval—as insurmountable. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen concession from Copenhagen or late-breaking executive action, though historical precedents favor stasis in territorial disputes.

Denmark and Greenland authorities have repeatedly affirmed that sovereignty over the territory remains non-negotiable, blocking any Trump-proposed acquisition deal despite U.S. diplomatic pressure and a vague January 2026 "framework" announcement with NATO on updating the 1951 defense agreement for expanded military access and mineral rights. With no binding bilateral agreement signed or imminent as of late March, and only days until the March 31 deadline, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.8% "No" probability, viewing entrenched opposition and procedural hurdles—including Greenland's self-rule and Danish parliamentary approval—as insurmountable. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen concession from Copenhagen or late-breaking executive action, though historical precedents favor stasis in territorial disputes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿El acuerdo Trump-Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia firmado antes del 31 de marzo?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿El acuerdo Trump-Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia firmado antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se firmó el acuerdo entre Trump y Dinamarca sobre Groenlandia antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.