President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election win, capturing 312 electoral votes and popular vote majorities, underpins the 91.5% "No" probability on removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting trader consensus on his continued fitness for office. No verified health issues have surfaced since his full recovery from the July assassination attempt, with recent public appearances and over 100 cabinet nominations signaling vigor and loyalty among picks like Vice President JD Vance. Invocation requires VP and cabinet majority declaration of incapacity—historically unprecedented against a president—which aligned appointees render improbable. Late-breaking health events, scandals, or legal developments remain the only plausible shifters before inauguration on January 20, 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
Sí
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election win, capturing 312 electoral votes and popular vote majorities, underpins the 91.5% "No" probability on removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting trader consensus on his continued fitness for office. No verified health issues have surfaced since his full recovery from the July assassination attempt, with recent public appearances and over 100 cabinet nominations signaling vigor and loyalty among picks like Vice President JD Vance. Invocation requires VP and cabinet majority declaration of incapacity—historically unprecedented against a president—which aligned appointees render improbable. Late-breaking health events, scandals, or legal developments remain the only plausible shifters before inauguration on January 20, 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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