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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

May 26

May 26

Ken Paxton 66%

John Cornyn 33%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$13,015,133 Vol.

Ken Paxton 66%

John Cornyn 33%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$13,015,133 Vol.

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Ken Paxton

$4,050,926 Vol.

66%

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John Cornyn

$2,886,081 Vol.

33%

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Dawn Buckingham

$884,640 Vol.

<1%

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Beth Van Duyne

$3,449,255 Vol.

<1%

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Wesley Hunt

$1,744,230 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Following the March 3 Republican primary where no candidate reached a majority, incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 runoff, driving trader consensus with Paxton at 66% implied probability reflecting his momentum among the GOP base. Recent polls, such as Impact Research's March 12-17 survey showing Paxton leading 53%-37%, underscore his edge, fueled by strong conservative turnout that forced the runoff despite Cornyn's record spending exceeding $100 million. Paxton's defiance amid calls for President Trump's endorsement—still absent—bolsters his challenger appeal, while Cornyn leverages establishment support; the race remains fluid ahead of early voting. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

Following the March 3 Republican primary where no candidate reached a majority, incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 runoff, driving trader consensus with Paxton at 66% implied probability reflecting his momentum among the GOP base. Recent polls, such as Impact Research's March 12-17 survey showing Paxton leading 53%-37%, underscore his edge, fueled by strong conservative turnout that forced the runoff despite Cornyn's record spending exceeding $100 million. Paxton's defiance amid calls for President Trump's endorsement—still absent—bolsters his challenger appeal, while Cornyn leverages establishment support; the race remains fluid ahead of early voting. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Following the March 3 Republican primary where no candidate reached a majority, incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 runoff, driving trader consensus with Paxton at 66% implied probability reflecting his momentum among the GOP base. Recent polls, such as Impact Research's March 12-17 survey showing Paxton leading 53%-37%, underscore his edge, fueled by strong conservative turnout that forced the runoff despite Cornyn's record spending exceeding $100 million. Paxton's defiance amid calls for President Trump's endorsement—still absent—bolsters his challenger appeal, while Cornyn leverages establishment support; the race remains fluid ahead of early voting. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

Following the March 3 Republican primary where no candidate reached a majority, incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 runoff, driving trader consensus with Paxton at 66% implied probability reflecting his momentum among the GOP base. Recent polls, such as Impact Research's March 12-17 survey showing Paxton leading 53%-37%, underscore his edge, fueled by strong conservative turnout that forced the runoff despite Cornyn's record spending exceeding $100 million. Paxton's defiance amid calls for President Trump's endorsement—still absent—bolsters his challenger appeal, while Cornyn leverages establishment support; the race remains fluid ahead of early voting. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after failing to advance.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ken Paxton" con 66%, seguido de "John Cornyn" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" ha generado $13 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es "Ken Paxton" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Cornyn" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.