AfD's commanding 38% in the latest INSA poll, more than double CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus at 89% implied probability for it to emerge as the strongest party in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. This lead reflects persistent eastern German discontent with federal migration policies and economic stagnation, bolstered by AfD's consistent dominance in recent surveys amid CDU's leadership transition to Premier Sven Schulze in January. Schulze's new party program emphasizing stricter migration and more police has narrowed the gap slightly but failed to overtake, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and others hover near or below the threshold, risking a three-party Landtag of AfD, CDU, and Die Linke. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could still challenge AfD's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 89%
CDU 9.4%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$518,833 Vol.
$518,833 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
89%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
La Izquierda
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
Los Verdes
<1%
AfD 89%
CDU 9.4%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$518,833 Vol.
$518,833 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$5,535 Vol.
89%
CDU
$462,333 Vol.
9%
SPD
$36,646 Vol.
1%
La Izquierda
$2,332 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$2,832 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$6,258 Vol.
<1%
Los Verdes
$2,896 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD's commanding 38% in the latest INSA poll, more than double CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus at 89% implied probability for it to emerge as the strongest party in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. This lead reflects persistent eastern German discontent with federal migration policies and economic stagnation, bolstered by AfD's consistent dominance in recent surveys amid CDU's leadership transition to Premier Sven Schulze in January. Schulze's new party program emphasizing stricter migration and more police has narrowed the gap slightly but failed to overtake, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and others hover near or below the threshold, risking a three-party Landtag of AfD, CDU, and Die Linke. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could still challenge AfD's edge.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$518,833Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD's commanding 38% in the latest INSA poll, more than double CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus at 89% implied probability for it to emerge as the strongest party in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. This lead reflects persistent eastern German discontent with federal migration policies and economic stagnation, bolstered by AfD's consistent dominance in recent surveys amid CDU's leadership transition to Premier Sven Schulze in January. Schulze's new party program emphasizing stricter migration and more police has narrowed the gap slightly but failed to overtake, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and others hover near or below the threshold, risking a three-party Landtag of AfD, CDU, and Die Linke. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could still challenge AfD's edge.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volumen
$518,833Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD's commanding 38% in the latest INSA poll, more than double CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus at 89% implied probability for it to emerge as the strongest party in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. This lead reflects persistent eastern German discontent with federal migration policies and economic stagnation, bolstered by AfD's consistent dominance in recent surveys amid CDU's leadership transition to Premier Sven Schulze in January. Schulze's new party program emphasizing stricter migration and more police has narrowed the gap slightly but failed to overtake, while SPD, Greens, FDP, and others hover near or below the threshold, risking a three-party Landtag of AfD, CDU, and Die Linke. Late campaign shifts or turnout surges could still challenge AfD's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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