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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 19.8%

Tucker Carlson 4.7%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Polymarket

$518,571,230 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 19.8%

Tucker Carlson 4.7%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Polymarket

$518,571,230 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$9,860,292 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,868,936 Vol.

20%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,481,424 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$10,072,877 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,580,228 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$6,015,471 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,937,498 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,688,612 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$16,467,816 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,997,147 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,475,519 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$10,813,308 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$23,865,472 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,673,783 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$14,688,840 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$4,124,248 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,631,155 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$13,318,428 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,412,102 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,343,183 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$11,201,338 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$16,404,418 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,846,955 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$28,757,567 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,532,571 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,337,311 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$22,234,010 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$29,658,672 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$28,934,519 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$2,544,006 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$15,680,197 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,751,915 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$34,384,667 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$12,224,971 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$34,806,375 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his recent launch of a midterm travel push to bolster the Make America Healthy Again agenda amid 2026 midterms, resonating with the GOP base on health policy reforms despite mixed approval ratings. Vice President J.D. Vance's odds have plunged from over 50% to 36.8% in recent weeks, dragged by his own sagging approval ratings and perceived tensions over foreign policy like Iran, eroding his heir-apparent status. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 19.8%, gaining from President Trump's public praise and March polling surges in prediction markets, highlighting an open primary field shaped by administration roles and base appeal ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$518,571,230
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his recent launch of a midterm travel push to bolster the Make America Healthy Again agenda amid 2026 midterms, resonating with the GOP base on health policy reforms despite mixed approval ratings. Vice President J.D. Vance's odds have plunged from over 50% to 36.8% in recent weeks, dragged by his own sagging approval ratings and perceived tensions over foreign policy like Iran, eroding his heir-apparent status. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 19.8%, gaining from President Trump's public praise and March polling surges in prediction markets, highlighting an open primary field shaped by administration roles and base appeal ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$518,571,230
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $518.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.