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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur

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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Republicano

$3,463 Vol.

88%

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Demócrata

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race in deeply red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won statewide since 2002, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% implied probability for victory on November 3. Recent March polls, including co/efficient's March 27 survey showing Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, and AG Alan Wilson at 15% among likely GOP primary voters, highlight a fragmented Republican primary ahead of June 9, with 30% undecided amplifying its decisiveness. Democrats, led nominally by state Rep. Jermaine Johnson, trail far in early surveys and face steep historical barriers, keeping their odds at 11.5% despite ratings of Safe Republican across forecasters. The first GOP debate nears, potentially clarifying the nominee.

Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race in deeply red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won statewide since 2002, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% implied probability for victory on November 3. Recent March polls, including co/efficient's March 27 survey showing Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, and AG Alan Wilson at 15% among likely GOP primary voters, highlight a fragmented Republican primary ahead of June 9, with 30% undecided amplifying its decisiveness. Democrats, led nominally by state Rep. Jermaine Johnson, trail far in early surveys and face steep historical barriers, keeping their odds at 11.5% despite ratings of Safe Republican across forecasters. The first GOP debate nears, potentially clarifying the nominee.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race in deeply red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won statewide since 2002, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% implied probability for victory on November 3. Recent March polls, including co/efficient's March 27 survey showing Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, and AG Alan Wilson at 15% among likely GOP primary voters, highlight a fragmented Republican primary ahead of June 9, with 30% undecided amplifying its decisiveness. Democrats, led nominally by state Rep. Jermaine Johnson, trail far in early surveys and face steep historical barriers, keeping their odds at 11.5% despite ratings of Safe Republican across forecasters. The first GOP debate nears, potentially clarifying the nominee.

Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race in deeply red South Carolina, where no Democrat has won statewide since 2002, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% implied probability for victory on November 3. Recent March polls, including co/efficient's March 27 survey showing Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, and AG Alan Wilson at 15% among likely GOP primary voters, highlight a fragmented Republican primary ahead of June 9, with 30% undecided amplifying its decisiveness. Democrats, led nominally by state Rep. Jermaine Johnson, trail far in early surveys and face steep historical barriers, keeping their odds at 11.5% despite ratings of Safe Republican across forecasters. The first GOP debate nears, potentially clarifying the nominee.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 88%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur" es "Republicano" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Carolina del Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.