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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Rafael López Aliaga 33%

Keiko Fujimori 21%

Carlos Álvarez 15.3%

Alfonso López Chau 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,891,237 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 33%

Keiko Fujimori 21%

Carlos Álvarez 15.3%

Alfonso López Chau 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,891,237 Vol.

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Rafael López Aliaga

$631,709 Vol.

33%

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Keiko Fujimori

$259,512 Vol.

21%

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Carlos Álvarez

$155,112 Vol.

15%

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Alfonso López Chau

$226,743 Vol.

9%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$349,520 Vol.

9%

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Jorge Nieto

$694,643 Vol.

6%

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Ricardo Belmont

$224,342 Vol.

2%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$212,278 Vol.

1%

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Carlos Espá

$156,454 Vol.

1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$384,441 Vol.

1%

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Mesías Guevara

$122,825 Vol.

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$192,020 Vol.

1%

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George Forsyth

$140,380 Vol.

<1%

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César Acuña

$115,219 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$76,331 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$138,954 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$68,408 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$97,146 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$109,685 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$134,357 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$107,330 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$130,797 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$163,033 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Rafael López Aliaga leads trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first-round vote on April 12, reflecting his top rankings in recent Ipsos, Datum, and CIT polls (11-22% support) amid a fragmented field of over 30 candidates and high indecision exceeding 30%. Keiko Fujimori trails at 20.5% with her Fuerza Popular base and name recognition from prior runs, while Carlos Álvarez (15.3%) appeals to centrists and Alfonso López Chau (9.0%) gains left-wing momentum per March surveys. Final televised debates this week highlighted clashes on corruption and economy, potentially consolidating right-wing votes against leftist challengers; a June 7 runoff looms likely, hinging on endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds, and anti-incumbent sentiment from years of instability.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$4,891,237
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Rafael López Aliaga leads trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first-round vote on April 12, reflecting his top rankings in recent Ipsos, Datum, and CIT polls (11-22% support) amid a fragmented field of over 30 candidates and high indecision exceeding 30%. Keiko Fujimori trails at 20.5% with her Fuerza Popular base and name recognition from prior runs, while Carlos Álvarez (15.3%) appeals to centrists and Alfonso López Chau (9.0%) gains left-wing momentum per March surveys. Final televised debates this week highlighted clashes on corruption and economy, potentially consolidating right-wing votes against leftist challengers; a June 7 runoff looms likely, hinging on endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds, and anti-incumbent sentiment from years of instability.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$4,891,237
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 33%, seguido de "Keiko Fujimori" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 33¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 33% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" ha generado $4.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 33%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 33% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Keiko Fujimori" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.