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Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 68%

Ryan Crosswell 17%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 4.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks 68%

Ryan Crosswell 17%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 4.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks

$490 Vol.

68%

Ryan Crosswell

$812 Vol.

17%

Lamont McClure

$918 Vol.

9%

Lewis Shupe

$1,294 Vol.

5%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$2,803 Vol.

4%

Aiden Gonzalez

$301 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the May 19 closed Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, propelled by Governor Josh Shapiro's endorsement, recent backing from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party on March 3, and his stature as president of the state firefighters' union, resonating with Lehigh Valley working-class voters in this swing seat. The field narrowed after March 11 state filings confirmed Brooks atop the ballot alongside former federal prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (16.5%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (9.0%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (3.6%), Lewis Shupe (4.6%), and Aiden Gonzalez (1.4%), following dropouts like Mark Pinsley. Absent public polls, traders favor Brooks' labor mobilization and momentum over Crosswell's prior fundraising leads and McClure's regional profile ahead of early voting.

Bob Brooks commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the May 19 closed Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, propelled by Governor Josh Shapiro's endorsement, recent backing from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party on March 3, and his stature as president of the state firefighters' union, resonating with Lehigh Valley working-class voters in this swing seat. The field narrowed after March 11 state filings confirmed Brooks atop the ballot alongside former federal prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (16.5%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (9.0%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (3.6%), Lewis Shupe (4.6%), and Aiden Gonzalez (1.4%), following dropouts like Mark Pinsley. Absent public polls, traders favor Brooks' labor mobilization and momentum over Crosswell's prior fundraising leads and McClure's regional profile ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the May 19 closed Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, propelled by Governor Josh Shapiro's endorsement, recent backing from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party on March 3, and his stature as president of the state firefighters' union, resonating with Lehigh Valley working-class voters in this swing seat. The field narrowed after March 11 state filings confirmed Brooks atop the ballot alongside former federal prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (16.5%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (9.0%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (3.6%), Lewis Shupe (4.6%), and Aiden Gonzalez (1.4%), following dropouts like Mark Pinsley. Absent public polls, traders favor Brooks' labor mobilization and momentum over Crosswell's prior fundraising leads and McClure's regional profile ahead of early voting.

Bob Brooks commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the May 19 closed Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, propelled by Governor Josh Shapiro's endorsement, recent backing from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party on March 3, and his stature as president of the state firefighters' union, resonating with Lehigh Valley working-class voters in this swing seat. The field narrowed after March 11 state filings confirmed Brooks atop the ballot alongside former federal prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (16.5%), ex-Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure (9.0%), engineer Carol Obando-Derstine (3.6%), Lewis Shupe (4.6%), and Aiden Gonzalez (1.4%), following dropouts like Mark Pinsley. Absent public polls, traders favor Brooks' labor mobilization and momentum over Crosswell's prior fundraising leads and McClure's regional profile ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bob Brooks" con 68%, seguido de "Ryan Crosswell" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Bob Brooks" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Crosswell" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.