Market icon
Política·Déficit

# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?

Market icon
Política·Déficit

# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?

50-100k 100.0%

<25k <1%

25-50k <1%

100-200k <1%

Polymarket

$1,842,263 Vol.

50-100k 100.0%

<25k <1%

25-50k <1%

100-200k <1%

Polymarket

$1,842,263 Vol.

<25k

$152,926 Vol.

No

25-50k

$126,302 Vol.

No

50-100k

$750,321 Vol.

Yes

100-200k

$371,865 Vol.

No

200k+

$440,849 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 25,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 50,000 (inclusive) and 100,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 100,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by 200,000 or more between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.

This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 25,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 50,000 (inclusive) and 100,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by between 100,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by 200,000 or more between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "50-100k" con 100%, seguido de "<25k" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?" ha generado $1.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 20, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?" es "50-100k" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<25k" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.