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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 32%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.2%

Polymarket

$76,432 Vol.

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 32%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.2%

Polymarket

$76,432 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$3,943 Vol.

65%

Antonio Reynoso

$3,866 Vol.

32%

Tiffany Cabán

$5,527 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$22,989 Vol.

1%

Julie Won

$1,791 Vol.

1%

Sandy Nurse

$6,799 Vol.

1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$23,454 Vol.

<1%

Lincoln Restler

$3,304 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$4,760 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's influential endorsement, Democratic Socialists of America backing, and UAW support, alongside an early February poll showing her leading Antonio Reynoso by 13 points amid the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Reynoso holds at 32% on his decade-plus elected experience as Brooklyn Borough President, boosted by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party (February), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and DC 37 municipal workers union (March 25), signaling progressive establishment consolidation. Remaining field trails amid petition filing approaching April 6; no new polls have emerged to shift dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's influential endorsement, Democratic Socialists of America backing, and UAW support, alongside an early February poll showing her leading Antonio Reynoso by 13 points amid the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Reynoso holds at 32% on his decade-plus elected experience as Brooklyn Borough President, boosted by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party (February), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and DC 37 municipal workers union (March 25), signaling progressive establishment consolidation. Remaining field trails amid petition filing approaching April 6; no new polls have emerged to shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's influential endorsement, Democratic Socialists of America backing, and UAW support, alongside an early February poll showing her leading Antonio Reynoso by 13 points amid the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Reynoso holds at 32% on his decade-plus elected experience as Brooklyn Borough President, boosted by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party (February), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and DC 37 municipal workers union (March 25), signaling progressive establishment consolidation. Remaining field trails amid petition filing approaching April 6; no new polls have emerged to shift dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's influential endorsement, Democratic Socialists of America backing, and UAW support, alongside an early February poll showing her leading Antonio Reynoso by 13 points amid the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Reynoso holds at 32% on his decade-plus elected experience as Brooklyn Borough President, boosted by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party (February), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and DC 37 municipal workers union (March 25), signaling progressive establishment consolidation. Remaining field trails amid petition filing approaching April 6; no new polls have emerged to shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Claire Valdez" con 65%, seguido de "Antonio Reynoso" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" ha generado $76.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es "Claire Valdez" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Antonio Reynoso" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.