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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 31%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.4%

Polymarket

$72,728 Vol.

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 31%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.4%

Polymarket

$72,728 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$3,795 Vol.

65%

Antonio Reynoso

$3,750 Vol.

31%

Tiffany Cabán

$5,411 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$22,746 Vol.

1%

Julie Won

$1,675 Vol.

1%

Sandy Nurse

$4,210 Vol.

1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$23,338 Vol.

1%

Lincoln Restler

$3,165 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$4,639 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, propelled by Mayor Zohran Mamdani's early endorsement and a fresh Pro-Palestinian PAL PAC backing announced four days ago, positioning her as the progressive frontrunner in the Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds steady at 31% on countervailing support, including the Working Families Party's February endorsement—defying Mamdani's lobbying—and a March 19 nod from Rep. Pat Ryan, alongside Velázquez's reported backing. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on these endorsement battles in the June 23 primary, with a crowded field trailing far behind amid fundraising and turnout uncertainties in this D+25 stronghold.

Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, propelled by Mayor Zohran Mamdani's early endorsement and a fresh Pro-Palestinian PAL PAC backing announced four days ago, positioning her as the progressive frontrunner in the Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds steady at 31% on countervailing support, including the Working Families Party's February endorsement—defying Mamdani's lobbying—and a March 19 nod from Rep. Pat Ryan, alongside Velázquez's reported backing. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on these endorsement battles in the June 23 primary, with a crowded field trailing far behind amid fundraising and turnout uncertainties in this D+25 stronghold.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, propelled by Mayor Zohran Mamdani's early endorsement and a fresh Pro-Palestinian PAL PAC backing announced four days ago, positioning her as the progressive frontrunner in the Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds steady at 31% on countervailing support, including the Working Families Party's February endorsement—defying Mamdani's lobbying—and a March 19 nod from Rep. Pat Ryan, alongside Velázquez's reported backing. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on these endorsement battles in the June 23 primary, with a crowded field trailing far behind amid fundraising and turnout uncertainties in this D+25 stronghold.

Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, propelled by Mayor Zohran Mamdani's early endorsement and a fresh Pro-Palestinian PAL PAC backing announced four days ago, positioning her as the progressive frontrunner in the Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds steady at 31% on countervailing support, including the Working Families Party's February endorsement—defying Mamdani's lobbying—and a March 19 nod from Rep. Pat Ryan, alongside Velázquez's reported backing. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on these endorsement battles in the June 23 primary, with a crowded field trailing far behind amid fundraising and turnout uncertainties in this D+25 stronghold.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Claire Valdez" con 65%, seguido de "Antonio Reynoso" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" ha generado $72.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es "Claire Valdez" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Antonio Reynoso" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.