Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progress Party (FrP) wins 22% or more of all valid votes in the next Norwegian parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).