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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Stefany Shaheen 61%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 4.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Stefany Shaheen 61%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 4.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Stefany Shaheen

$6,876 Vol.

61%

Maura Sullivan

$1,014 Vol.

27%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,255 Vol.

11%

Heath Howard

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for the NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting her consistent polling edge in an open seat vacated by incumbent Chris Pappas running for U.S. Senate.** The most recent University of New Hampshire poll from January 21 shows her at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Heath Howard (10%), Maura Sullivan (8%), and Carleigh Beriont (3%), with 39% undecided—suggesting potential for consolidation given her high name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo from early 2026 surveys where Shaheen's advantage has grown from 23-29% in late 2025 polls. Sullivan trails as a familiar 2018 nominee, while Beriont and Howard draw limited support amid a crowded field; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.

**Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for the NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting her consistent polling edge in an open seat vacated by incumbent Chris Pappas running for U.S. Senate.** The most recent University of New Hampshire poll from January 21 shows her at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Heath Howard (10%), Maura Sullivan (8%), and Carleigh Beriont (3%), with 39% undecided—suggesting potential for consolidation given her high name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo from early 2026 surveys where Shaheen's advantage has grown from 23-29% in late 2025 polls. Sullivan trails as a familiar 2018 nominee, while Beriont and Howard draw limited support amid a crowded field; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for the NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting her consistent polling edge in an open seat vacated by incumbent Chris Pappas running for U.S. Senate.** The most recent University of New Hampshire poll from January 21 shows her at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Heath Howard (10%), Maura Sullivan (8%), and Carleigh Beriont (3%), with 39% undecided—suggesting potential for consolidation given her high name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo from early 2026 surveys where Shaheen's advantage has grown from 23-29% in late 2025 polls. Sullivan trails as a familiar 2018 nominee, while Beriont and Howard draw limited support amid a crowded field; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.

**Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for the NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting her consistent polling edge in an open seat vacated by incumbent Chris Pappas running for U.S. Senate.** The most recent University of New Hampshire poll from January 21 shows her at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Heath Howard (10%), Maura Sullivan (8%), and Carleigh Beriont (3%), with 39% undecided—suggesting potential for consolidation given her high name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo from early 2026 surveys where Shaheen's advantage has grown from 23-29% in late 2025 polls. Sullivan trails as a familiar 2018 nominee, while Beriont and Howard draw limited support amid a crowded field; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Stefany Shaheen" con 61%, seguido de "Maura Sullivan" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es "Stefany Shaheen" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Maura Sullivan" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.