Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams' dominant 79% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic win in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District at 91.5%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+24 partisan voter index under the new 2025 map. Adams previously won 74% in the 2024 general election against a similar Republican field, while GOP nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary with just 67% over Addul Ali. The seat's history of lopsided Democratic margins in a Charlotte-area battleground underscores limited Republican path-to-victory absent a major scandal, Adams' withdrawal, or overwhelming midterm national wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
$13,904 Vol.
$13,904 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
$13,904 Vol.
$13,904 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,622 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$7,281 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams' dominant 79% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic win in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District at 91.5%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+24 partisan voter index under the new 2025 map. Adams previously won 74% in the 2024 general election against a similar Republican field, while GOP nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary with just 67% over Addul Ali. The seat's history of lopsided Democratic margins in a Charlotte-area battleground underscores limited Republican path-to-victory absent a major scandal, Adams' withdrawal, or overwhelming midterm national wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$13,904Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams' dominant 79% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic win in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District at 91.5%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+24 partisan voter index under the new 2025 map. Adams previously won 74% in the 2024 general election against a similar Republican field, while GOP nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary with just 67% over Addul Ali. The seat's history of lopsided Democratic margins in a Charlotte-area battleground underscores limited Republican path-to-victory absent a major scandal, Adams' withdrawal, or overwhelming midterm national wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,904Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams' dominant 79% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic win in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District at 91.5%, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+24 partisan voter index under the new 2025 map. Adams previously won 74% in the 2024 general election against a similar Republican field, while GOP nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary with just 67% over Addul Ali. The seat's history of lopsided Democratic margins in a Charlotte-area battleground underscores limited Republican path-to-victory absent a major scandal, Adams' withdrawal, or overwhelming midterm national wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes