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Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Dan Koh 72%

Seth Moulton 12.1%

Kevin Larivee 7.1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh 72%

Seth Moulton 12.1%

Kevin Larivee 7.1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh

$3,580 Vol.

72%

Seth Moulton

$0 Vol.

12%

Kevin Larivee

$1,228 Vol.

7%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$0 Vol.

6%

Tram Nguyen

$0 Vol.

5%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$0 Vol.

4%

John Beccia

$0 Vol.

3%

Dominick Pangallo

$0 Vol.

3%

Rick Jakious

$2,291 Vol.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$0 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$0 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,341 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Boston Mayor chief of staff Dan Koh a 72% implied probability of victory, driven by his record-breaking $2 million-plus fundraising haul in the campaign's first quarter, continued cash dominance through February, and status as the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 26. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Ed Markey has left the seat vacant, boosting the crowded nine-Democrat field, but Koh's endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and ex-Rep. John Tierney solidify his frontrunner edge amid recent forums highlighting health care and immigration divides. Lower odds for challengers like Seth Moulton (12%) reflect slim chances of a late switch-back, with no public polls yet available and the August 25 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.

In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Boston Mayor chief of staff Dan Koh a 72% implied probability of victory, driven by his record-breaking $2 million-plus fundraising haul in the campaign's first quarter, continued cash dominance through February, and status as the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 26. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Ed Markey has left the seat vacant, boosting the crowded nine-Democrat field, but Koh's endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and ex-Rep. John Tierney solidify his frontrunner edge amid recent forums highlighting health care and immigration divides. Lower odds for challengers like Seth Moulton (12%) reflect slim chances of a late switch-back, with no public polls yet available and the August 25 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Boston Mayor chief of staff Dan Koh a 72% implied probability of victory, driven by his record-breaking $2 million-plus fundraising haul in the campaign's first quarter, continued cash dominance through February, and status as the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 26. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Ed Markey has left the seat vacant, boosting the crowded nine-Democrat field, but Koh's endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and ex-Rep. John Tierney solidify his frontrunner edge amid recent forums highlighting health care and immigration divides. Lower odds for challengers like Seth Moulton (12%) reflect slim chances of a late switch-back, with no public polls yet available and the August 25 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.

In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Boston Mayor chief of staff Dan Koh a 72% implied probability of victory, driven by his record-breaking $2 million-plus fundraising haul in the campaign's first quarter, continued cash dominance through February, and status as the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 26. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge to Ed Markey has left the seat vacant, boosting the crowded nine-Democrat field, but Koh's endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and ex-Rep. John Tierney solidify his frontrunner edge amid recent forums highlighting health care and immigration divides. Lower odds for challengers like Seth Moulton (12%) reflect slim chances of a late switch-back, with no public polls yet available and the August 25 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dan Koh" con 72%, seguido de "Seth Moulton" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Dan Koh" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Seth Moulton" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.