Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Denver high of 78-79°F on March 24, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, which consistently project peaks in this narrow band amid persistent high-pressure ridging and downslope chinook winds fueling adiabatic warming. Official observations show recent days already hitting mid-70s with dry soils amplifying daytime heating, aligning with historical March norms where 78°F exceeds the 1991-2020 average of 56°F but falls short of the 87°F record. This positioning reflects low model spread and verified short-range accuracy. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or convective overturning, though probabilities remain under 1% per current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$151,003 Vol.
$151,003 Vol.
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$151,003 Vol.
$151,003 Vol.
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Denver high of 78-79°F on March 24, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, which consistently project peaks in this narrow band amid persistent high-pressure ridging and downslope chinook winds fueling adiabatic warming. Official observations show recent days already hitting mid-70s with dry soils amplifying daytime heating, aligning with historical March norms where 78°F exceeds the 1991-2020 average of 56°F but falls short of the 87°F record. This positioning reflects low model spread and verified short-range accuracy. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or convective overturning, though probabilities remain under 1% per current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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