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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$969,300,112 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$969,300,112 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$18,089,264 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$7,046,030 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,140,121 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$9,041,978 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,690,040 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,113,092 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$7,217,654 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,521,835 Vol.

3%

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Jon Stewart

$11,635,807 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,906,825 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,925,120 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,407,206 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,367,480 Vol.

1%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,746,164 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$22,086,333 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,791,125 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,480,234 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,932,456 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,597,371 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,059,691 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,181,302 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,190,739 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,267,601 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,671,329 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,834,147 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,513,145 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,427,313 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,607,725 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,212,405 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,265,313 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,934,702 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,865,380 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,996,185 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,678,722 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,425,740 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,032,954 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,915,246 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$26,286,538 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,551,594 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,880,543 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,457,164 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,924,481 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,467,889 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,932,631 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.6% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by early polls like the March Emerson College survey placing him at 20% nationally and a March POLITICO California poll showing him decisively ahead of Kamala Harris in their home state. His term-limited governorship ends in 2027, high-profile anti-Trump rhetoric, and events like SXSW appearances enhance his national fundraising and visibility in a fragmented field post-2024 election loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.8% with progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects Georgia battleground success. Support could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, key endorsements, or dominant early fundraising among governors, senators, and rising stars.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$969,300,112
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.6% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by early polls like the March Emerson College survey placing him at 20% nationally and a March POLITICO California poll showing him decisively ahead of Kamala Harris in their home state. His term-limited governorship ends in 2027, high-profile anti-Trump rhetoric, and events like SXSW appearances enhance his national fundraising and visibility in a fragmented field post-2024 election loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.8% with progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects Georgia battleground success. Support could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, key endorsements, or dominant early fundraising among governors, senators, and rising stars.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$969,300,112
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $969.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.