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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$963,861,038 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$963,861,038 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,949,544 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,687,250 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,688,842 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$9,016,463 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,677,147 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,089,176 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$7,067,961 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,210,362 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,806,331 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$11,149,068 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,825,024 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,313,683 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,343,504 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,731,472 Vol.

1%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,737,659 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$22,010,786 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,239,666 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,634,447 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,516,793 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,135,900 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,990,996 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,114,944 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,256,303 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,808,634 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,494,862 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,367,412 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,583,076 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,468,886 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,221,033 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,912,846 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,728,451 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,877,379 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,536,196 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,014,580 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,754,716 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$25,652,657 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,412,403 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,890,123 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,499,091 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,861,028 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,830,868 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,429,669 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,882,306 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,450,142 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.6% implied probability, propelled by March 2026 primary polls showing him dominating in California and tying for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national profile built through foreign policy commentary and a $25 million war chest. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 7.6% via strong progressive appeal and social media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects his youth and Georgia battleground credentials. Kamala Harris lags at 4.2% post-2024 defeat. In this wide-open field absent an incumbent, support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, fundraising leaders, or governors like Shapiro and Whitmer gaining endorsements ahead of early primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$963,861,038
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.6% implied probability, propelled by March 2026 primary polls showing him dominating in California and tying for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national profile built through foreign policy commentary and a $25 million war chest. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 7.6% via strong progressive appeal and social media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects his youth and Georgia battleground credentials. Kamala Harris lags at 4.2% post-2024 defeat. In this wide-open field absent an incumbent, support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, fundraising leaders, or governors like Shapiro and Whitmer gaining endorsements ahead of early primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$963,861,038
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $963.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.