Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting caution after February's 2.9% print matched January's level but exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7%. Sticky inflation in regulated prices like energy has stalled Milei's disinflation trajectory, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict driving up international oil costs—analysts like Menescaldi attribute ~0.3 percentage points of March's expected rise to this factor. Annual inflation ticked to 33.1% in February amid resilient core pressures. INDEC's official March release, due mid-April, will resolve the market amid private estimates varying from 2.6% city trackers to higher consultora projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 23%
3.4–3.6% 7.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.4%
$15,547 Vol.
$15,547 Vol.
14 abr 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.7%
3%
2.8–3.0%
23%
3.1–3.3%
68%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7%+
<1%
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 23%
3.4–3.6% 7.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.4%
$15,547 Vol.
$15,547 Vol.
14 abr 2026
≤2.1%
$1,263 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$882 Vol.
2%
2.5–2.7%
$1,213 Vol.
3%
2.8–3.0%
$1,547 Vol.
23%
3.1–3.3%
$4,951 Vol.
68%
3.4–3.6%
$2,203 Vol.
7%
3.7%+
$3,487 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting caution after February's 2.9% print matched January's level but exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7%. Sticky inflation in regulated prices like energy has stalled Milei's disinflation trajectory, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict driving up international oil costs—analysts like Menescaldi attribute ~0.3 percentage points of March's expected rise to this factor. Annual inflation ticked to 33.1% in February amid resilient core pressures. INDEC's official March release, due mid-April, will resolve the market amid private estimates varying from 2.6% city trackers to higher consultora projections.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volumen
$15,547Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting caution after February's 2.9% print matched January's level but exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7%. Sticky inflation in regulated prices like energy has stalled Milei's disinflation trajectory, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict driving up international oil costs—analysts like Menescaldi attribute ~0.3 percentage points of March's expected rise to this factor. Annual inflation ticked to 33.1% in February amid resilient core pressures. INDEC's official March release, due mid-April, will resolve the market amid private estimates varying from 2.6% city trackers to higher consultora projections.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$15,547Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting caution after February's 2.9% print matched January's level but exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7%. Sticky inflation in regulated prices like energy has stalled Milei's disinflation trajectory, with geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict driving up international oil costs—analysts like Menescaldi attribute ~0.3 percentage points of March's expected rise to this factor. Annual inflation ticked to 33.1% in February amid resilient core pressures. INDEC's official March release, due mid-April, will resolve the market amid private estimates varying from 2.6% city trackers to higher consultora projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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