Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-125 million votes, reflecting historical patterns near 108 million in 2022 amid uncertainty over voter enthusiasm. Recent March primaries delivered Democratic turnout edges in battleground states like Texas (2.3 million Democrats vs. 2.2 million Republicans), North Carolina, Illinois, and Arkansas, fueling bets on elevated participation from anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump. Generic congressional ballot polls show ties or slight Democratic leads among registered voters, with high Democratic interest (74% per NBC) versus Republicans (61%), yet apathy risks cap upside. Upcoming primaries, economic data, approval ratings, and get-out-the-vote efforts in swing states could widen the spread between top bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
120-125 millones 18%
115-120 millones 17%
125-130 millones 13%
110-115 millones 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
9%
85-90 millones
10%
90-95 millones
7%
95-100 millones
8%
100-105 millones
8%
105-110 millones
12%
110-115 millones
12%
115-120 millones
17%
120-125 millones
18%
125-130 millones
13%
130 millones o más
7%
120-125 millones 18%
115-120 millones 17%
125-130 millones 13%
110-115 millones 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
$206 Vol.
9%
85-90 millones
$305 Vol.
10%
90-95 millones
$688 Vol.
7%
95-100 millones
$137 Vol.
8%
100-105 millones
$0 Vol.
8%
105-110 millones
$156 Vol.
12%
110-115 millones
$0 Vol.
12%
115-120 millones
$0 Vol.
17%
120-125 millones
$144 Vol.
18%
125-130 millones
$0 Vol.
13%
130 millones o más
$0 Vol.
7%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-125 million votes, reflecting historical patterns near 108 million in 2022 amid uncertainty over voter enthusiasm. Recent March primaries delivered Democratic turnout edges in battleground states like Texas (2.3 million Democrats vs. 2.2 million Republicans), North Carolina, Illinois, and Arkansas, fueling bets on elevated participation from anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump. Generic congressional ballot polls show ties or slight Democratic leads among registered voters, with high Democratic interest (74% per NBC) versus Republicans (61%), yet apathy risks cap upside. Upcoming primaries, economic data, approval ratings, and get-out-the-vote efforts in swing states could widen the spread between top bins.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$1,636Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-125 million votes, reflecting historical patterns near 108 million in 2022 amid uncertainty over voter enthusiasm. Recent March primaries delivered Democratic turnout edges in battleground states like Texas (2.3 million Democrats vs. 2.2 million Republicans), North Carolina, Illinois, and Arkansas, fueling bets on elevated participation from anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump. Generic congressional ballot polls show ties or slight Democratic leads among registered voters, with high Democratic interest (74% per NBC) versus Republicans (61%), yet apathy risks cap upside. Upcoming primaries, economic data, approval ratings, and get-out-the-vote efforts in swing states could widen the spread between top bins.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$1,636Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-125 million votes, reflecting historical patterns near 108 million in 2022 amid uncertainty over voter enthusiasm. Recent March primaries delivered Democratic turnout edges in battleground states like Texas (2.3 million Democrats vs. 2.2 million Republicans), North Carolina, Illinois, and Arkansas, fueling bets on elevated participation from anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump. Generic congressional ballot polls show ties or slight Democratic leads among registered voters, with high Democratic interest (74% per NBC) versus Republicans (61%), yet apathy risks cap upside. Upcoming primaries, economic data, approval ratings, and get-out-the-vote efforts in swing states could widen the spread between top bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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