Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

10%

chance

$31m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$363m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$9m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

chance

$3m Vol.

Liquid

30%

NIP

71%

Game 3 • Best of 3

$1m Vol.

•COUNTER STRIKE

Hellas Verona FC

0%

Bologna FC 1909

96%

2H - 67

$637k Vol.

•SEA

Grizzlies

34%

Magic

67%

$2m Vol.

•NBA• 7:00 PM

Suns

30%

Pistons

71%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Islanders

41%

Oilers

60%

$970k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 2:00 AM

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

11%

January 23

21%

January 18

11%

January 23

21%

$50m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

37%

chance

$3m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

$675m Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

28%

March 31

29%

January 31

28%

March 31

29%

$85k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

74%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

13%

António José Seguro (IND)

74%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

13%

$108m Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

87%

chance

$558k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

31%

Kristi Noem

17%

Pam Bondi

31%

Kristi Noem

17%

$961k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

44%

Kevin Hassett

35%

Kevin Warsh

44%

Kevin Hassett

35%

$187m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

25%

chance

$10m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

4%

May 14

8%

March 31

4%

May 14

8%

$419k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

27%

chance

$2m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 16

3%

January 17

3%

January 16

3%

January 17

3%

$4m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$189m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$6m Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...? card icon

US strike on Mexico by...?

January 31

3%

March 31

11%

January 31

3%

March 31

11%

$1m Vol.

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