Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

19%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

16%

chance

$4m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

32%

chance

$5m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026?

560-579

76%

580+

23%

560-579

76%

580+

23%

$16m Vol.

Mali

16%

Senegal

55%

$615k Vol.

•ACN• 4:00 PM

Raptors

27%

Celtics

74%

$882k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Pelicans

56%

Wizards

44%

$620k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 11

5%

January 31

31%

January 11

5%

January 31

31%

$4m Vol.

ICE shooter charged by March 31? card icon

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

22%

chance

$73k Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?

88%

Up

$17k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

94%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

94%

$3m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

17%

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

17%

$661m Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

52%

María Corina Machado

19%

Delcy Rodríguez

52%

María Corina Machado

19%

$2m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

26%

chance

$2m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

40%

chance

$821k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

42%

António José Seguro (IND)

31%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

42%

António José Seguro (IND)

31%

$94m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$178m Vol.

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? card icon

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

72%

chance

$159k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

41%

Kevin Hassett

37%

Kevin Warsh

41%

Kevin Hassett

37%

$156m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

3%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

3%

$210m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

23%

chance

$1m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

45%

chance

$6m Vol.

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of January? card icon

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of January?

↑ $100

7%

↑ $90

19%

↑ $100

7%

↑ $90

19%

$2m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on January 9? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on January 9?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$4m Vol.

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