Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

$23m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$623m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

46%

Kevin Hassett

43%

Kevin Warsh

46%

Kevin Hassett

43%

$57m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

6%

January 31, 2026

16%

December 31, 2025

6%

January 31, 2026

16%

$25m Vol.

Dolphins

38%

Steelers

63%

$2m Vol.

•NFL•Tomorrow 1:15 AM

Pistons

48%

Celtics

53%

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Raptors

33%

Heat

68%

$801k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Senators

46%

Jets

55%

$458k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:30 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

<1%

Up

$111k Vol.

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Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

67%

December 31

81%

December 19

67%

December 31

81%

$5m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

84%

>$2B

77%

>$1B

84%

>$2B

77%

$24m Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

87%

Rizo Velovic

9%

Savannah Louie

87%

Rizo Velovic

9%

$447k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

85%

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

85%

$2m Vol.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025? card icon

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0

90%

1-100

8%

0

90%

1-100

8%

$7m Vol.

David Friedberg image

David Friedberg

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NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

73%

Drake Maye

13%

Matthew Stafford

73%

Drake Maye

13%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$149k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 15

1%

December 31

37%

December 15

1%

December 31

37%

$545k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 15

1%

December 31

18%

December 15

1%

December 31

18%

$38m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

5%

chance

$56m Vol.

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