Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

34%

chance

$1m Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

45%

Edmundo González

14%

Delcy Rodríguez

45%

Edmundo González

14%

$1m Vol.

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? card icon

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

January 7

3%

January 31

5%

January 7

3%

January 31

5%

$3m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

14%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$173m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

33%

chance

$2m Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

January 31

5%

March 31

13%

January 31

5%

March 31

13%

$11m Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

96%

>$5m

94%

>$4m

96%

>$5m

94%

$3m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

44%

António José Seguro (IND)

24%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

44%

António José Seguro (IND)

24%

$87m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 5 - January 7, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 5 - January 7, 2026?

100-109

2%

110-119

7%

100-109

2%

110-119

7%

$436k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

20%

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

20%

Los Angeles R

16%

$655m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

11%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

11%

$157m Vol.

Another US strike on Venezuela by...? card icon

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

January 10

3%

January 17

12%

January 10

3%

January 17

12%

$710k Vol.

Maduro mugshot released by...? card icon

Maduro mugshot released by...?

January 9

6%

January 16

13%

January 9

6%

January 16

13%

$1m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 31

15%

March 31

27%

January 31

15%

March 31

27%

$1m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

$555k Vol.

Which NFL Head Coaches will be fired? card icon

Which NFL Head Coaches will be fired?

John Harbaugh

100%

Mike McCoy

96%

John Harbaugh

100%

Mike McCoy

96%

$280k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

40%

Kevin Warsh

38%

Kevin Hassett

40%

Kevin Warsh

38%

$137m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

23%

chance

$1m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

45%

chance

$6m Vol.

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? card icon

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?

100%

chance

$11m Vol.

Total commitments for the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO card icon

Total commitments for the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO

>$20M

92%

>$40M

77%

>$20M

92%

>$40M

77%

$4m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in January? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

↑ 105,000

23%

↑ 100,000

44%

↑ 105,000

23%

↑ 100,000

44%

$11m Vol.

61%

40%

$3m Vol.

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