Fed Decision in September?

Politics·Fomc

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

21%

25 bps increase

80%

50+ bps increase

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

25 bps increase 80%

No change 21%

50+ bps increase <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

$141M Vol

Monthly

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

FINAL

$354K Vol

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $105

↑ $100

↓ $95

↓ $90

Oil falls but head for 8% weekly gain on tight supply; US diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

Oil

Oil falls but head for 8% weekly gain on tight supply; US diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

Oil

Oil falls but head for 8% weekly gain on tight supply; US diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Bloomberg.com

・

Novartis Sees Avidity Drug Fail in Third Setback in a Week

BBC

・

Oil

↑ $100 96.2%

↓ $95 81%

↓ $90 58.3%

↑ $105 56.0%

$4M Vol

Monthly

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up7.41x Down1.16x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

$127 Vol

Live

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·US Election

Democrats Sweep

50%

D Senate, R House

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

German Far Right Surges in State Vote in New Blow to Merz

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

reuters.com

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

German Far Right Surges in State Vote in New Blow to Merz

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

reuters.com

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

German Far Right Surges in State Vote in New Blow to Merz

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

reuters.com

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Democrats Sweep 50%

R Senate, D House 36%

Republicans Sweep 13%

D Senate, R House 1.6%

$12M Vol

Ends Nov 3, 2026·

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Sports·NFL

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

reuters.com

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Culture Preview: What We’re Looking Forward to This Fall

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

reuters.com

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Culture Preview: What We’re Looking Forward to This Fall

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

reuters.com

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Culture Preview: What We’re Looking Forward to This Fall

Los Angeles Rams 11%

Buffalo Bills 9%

Seattle Seahawks 8%

San Francisco 49ers 6.7%

$53M Vol

Ends Feb 14, 2027·

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

September 21

September 30

October 31

December 31

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

reuters.com

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

reuters.com

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

December 31 65.9%

October 31 36%

September 30 20%

September 21 11%

$28M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

80%

Yes80%No21%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

25 bps increase

80%

Yes80%No21%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

$141M Vol.

BTC Up or Down 5m

52%

Down

Live

·Bitcoin

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

23%

chance

Yes

$15M Vol.

Gen.G

44%

Hanwha Life Esports

56%

Gen.G

Hanwha Life

Game 2

$3M Vol.

·LoL

New Mexico State

28%

Hawai'i

72%

New Mexico

Hawai'i

Q3 - 03:44

$332K Vol.

·College Football

52%

Legacy

49%

Legacy

$911K Vol.

·CS2

Levante

Barcelona

85%

Levante

DRAW

Barcelona

$904K Vol.

·LaLiga

Man Utd

31%

Man City

45%

Man Utd

DRAW

Man City

$1M Vol.

·Premier League

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Alexander Zverev

58%

Yes58%No42%

Ben Shelton

42%

Yes42%No58%

Alexander Zverev

58%

Yes58%No42%

Ben Shelton

42%

Yes42%No58%

$25M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31

22%

Yes22%No79%

October 31

16%

Yes16%No85%

December 31

22%

Yes22%No79%

October 31

16%

Yes16%No85%

$14M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.0%

87%

Yes87%No14%

5.1%

65%

Yes65%No35%

5.0%

87%

Yes87%No14%

5.1%

65%

Yes65%No35%

$388K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

$11K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

69%

Yes69%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No34%

December 31, 2027

69%

Yes69%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No34%

$8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic

96%

Yes96%No4%

Google

Yes2%No98%

Anthropic

96%

Yes96%No4%

Google

Yes2%No98%

$3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

66%

Yes66%No35%

Ulf Kristersson

35%

Yes35%No66%

Magdalena Andersson

66%

Yes66%No35%

Ulf Kristersson

35%

Yes35%No66%

$6M Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 15, 2026

84%

Yes84%No17%

November 30, 2026

82%

Yes82%No19%

December 15, 2026

84%

Yes84%No17%

November 30, 2026

82%

Yes82%No19%

$3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31

66%

Yes66%No34%

October 31

36%

Yes36%No64%

December 31

66%

Yes66%No34%

October 31

36%

Yes36%No64%

$28M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

55%

Yes55%No45%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

Gadi Eizenkot

55%

Yes55%No45%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

$37M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

$12M Vol.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

21%

Yes21%No79%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

Anna Kelly

21%

Yes21%No79%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

$416K Vol.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes6%No94%

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes6%No94%

$620K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

October 31

Yes8%No92%

December 31

19%

Yes19%No82%

October 31

Yes8%No92%

$7M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

54%

Yes54%No47%

Republican Party

48%

Yes48%No53%

Democratic Party

54%

Yes54%No47%

Republican Party

48%

Yes48%No53%

$4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

51%

Yes51%No49%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

J.D. Vance

51%

Yes51%No49%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

$704M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027

60%

Yes60%No41%

December 31, 2026

43%

Yes43%No58%

March 31, 2027

60%

Yes60%No41%

December 31, 2026

43%

Yes43%No58%

$11M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

chance

Yes

$66M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

24%

Yes24%No76%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Yes13%No87%

JD Vance

24%

Yes24%No76%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Yes13%No87%

$705M Vol.

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Yes11%No90%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No92%

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Yes11%No90%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No92%

$53M Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

$32M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

28%

Yes28%No73%

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

28%

Yes28%No73%

$133M Vol.

V. Lepchenko

51%

Nicole Melichar

50%

V. Lepc.

Nicole

$575K Vol.

·WTA Tour

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

50%

Yes50%No50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Yes49%No52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

50%

Yes50%No50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Yes49%No52%

$149M Vol.

Wake Forest

50%

Purdue

50%

Wake Forest

Purdue

$505K Vol.

·College Football

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No82%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No82%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

$1B Vol.

Cruz Azul

100%

América

Cruz Azul

DRAW

América

$596K Vol.

·Liga MX

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

61%

Yes61%No39%

Lamine Yamal

16%

Yes16%No84%

Harry Kane

61%

Yes61%No39%

Lamine Yamal

16%

Yes16%No84%

$35M Vol.

Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Featured markets

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

BTC Up or Down 5m

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Anthropic IPO by __?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Next French Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026